Caldwell County, KY

KY · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+58.2
2024 Margin
R+4.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
13K
Population

Caldwell County, KY (Kentucky) voted R+58.2 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 4,860 votes (78.54%) to 1,256 (20.3%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Caldwell County is classified as a deep Republican county. Caldwell County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The county has a population of approximately 12,618.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+58.2
2020→2024 SwingR+4.3%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population12,618
Median Age
42.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
17.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$59,583(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
90.1%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
1.5%(US: 19.1%)
Black
5.3%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
70.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
15.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.0%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
1.7%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
80.5%(Unique Concentration)
Mainline Protestant
8.3%(Above Average)
Black Protestant
5.1%(Major Center)
LDS/Mormon
1.8%
Catholic
1.7%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
15.7%Above Average(1.8x)
American Heritage
9.5%Above Average(1.8x)
German
9.2%
Irish
8.0%
French
2.3%
Italian
1.8%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:42.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.9%
18-29
6.9%
30-44
16.9%
45-64
31.9%
65+
21.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingMajor Specialization
20.0%(2.0x US)
Retail Trade
13.5%(1.3x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
7.8%(4.6x US)
Professional & Technical
6.0%(0.5x US)
Construction
4.9%(0.7x US)
Educational Services
4.3%(0.5x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202420.3%(1,256)78.5%(4,860)R+58.2R+4.3
202022.3%(1,433)76.3%(4,906)R+54.0D+0.4
201621.1%(1,260)75.4%(4,507)R+54.3R+19.3
201231.6%(1,852)66.6%(3,904)R+35.0R+8.3
200835.7%(2,212)62.4%(3,866)R+26.7D+2.0
200435.4%(2,245)64.0%(4,066)R+28.7R+11.6
200040.5%(2,223)57.7%(3,161)R+17.1R+24.2
199647.2%(2,434)40.1%(2,067)D+7.1R+11.2
199253.1%(3,000)34.8%(1,966)D+18.3D+25.3
198846.0%(2,564)52.9%(2,952)R+7.0D+6.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Caldwell County, KY18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202223.6%(1,104)76.4%(3,580)R+52.9R+9.6
202026.1%(1,675)69.3%(4,452)R+43.2R+12.0
201634.4%(2,037)65.6%(3,887)R+31.2R+4.5
201434.6%(1,743)61.4%(3,089)R+26.8R+17.5
201045.4%(2,114)54.6%(2,544)R+9.2R+1.8
200846.3%(2,821)53.7%(3,272)R+7.4R+7.6
200450.1%(3,034)49.9%(3,025)D+0.1D+38.8
200230.7%(1,220)69.3%(2,757)R+38.6R+53.6
199856.9%(2,535)42.0%(1,871)D+14.9D+20.1
199646.7%(2,312)51.9%(2,569)R+5.2R+43.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202340.0%(1,519)60.0%(2,279)R+20.0D+10.1
201934.1%(1,510)64.2%(2,843)R+30.1R+9.0
201537.9%(1,180)59.0%(1,838)R+21.1R+47.7
201160.1%(2,075)33.5%(1,157)D+26.6R+3.0
200764.8%(2,456)35.2%(1,335)D+29.6D+38.8
200345.4%(1,812)54.6%(2,181)R+9.2R+69.8
199975.4%(1,419)14.8%(279)D+60.5D+49.3
199555.6%(2,009)44.3%(1,602)D+11.3R+32.8
199172.0%(2,810)28.0%(1,092)D+44.0R+0.9
198772.5%(2,133)27.5%(811)D+44.9D+16.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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