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Matt G. Bevin

Governor candidate from Kentucky who lost a razor-thin 0.4-point race in 2019

Republican
Governor
Electoral Grade
Requires 3+ graded races
2
Races
1-1
W-L (50%)
-4.2
Avg Margin
2015–2019
Career Span
Best: +0.4 (2019 Governor)Worst: -8.7 (2015 Governor)
50%
Win Rate
-5.5
Avg Overperformance
4 yrs
Career Span
1.2M
Career Votes

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic grading inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 14, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated grades, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate grade inputs
Open methodology

Career Margin Trend2 races

R+10EvenD+102015: R+8.7 - Click to view2019: D+0.4 - Click to view20152019

Career Timeline

704,078
Candidate Votes
48.7%
Vote %
1,445,873
Total Votes
+0.4%
Margin
Electoral Performance
-8.1
Race Score
-5.1
vs. State Pres.
D-4.7
State Pres.
Incumbent (−3pt bar)
Top opponent: Andy BeshearDEM

Geographic Performance

2 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

2 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Historian Query

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Curious about Matt G. Bevin's performance?

Ask the Historian

Interactive AI-powered chat about Matt G. Bevin's career, opponents, and performance.

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