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Paul D. Bagwell

Governor candidate from Michigan who lost a razor-thin 1.3-point race in 1960

Republican
Governor
Electoral Score
+8.4pts
Better than 51% of candidates2 graded races

Overperformance vs. state presidential baseline. Incumbents held to a higher bar: Senate/Gov −3 pts.

2
Races
0-2
W-L (0%)
+3.8
Avg Margin
1958–1960
Career Span
Best: +6.4 (1958 Governor)Worst: 1.3 (1960 Governor)
0%
Win Rate
+2.7
Avg Overperformance
2 yrs
Career Span
2.7M
Career Votes
Top 49%
Percentile

Evidence & provenance

Source owners

Certified contest returns, candidate career records, and Akashic Edge deterministic scoring inputs.

Freshness

Rendered Apr 16, 2026 from the latest candidate, contest, and forecast tables loaded in Akashic Edge.

Boundary scope

Candidate-level profile spanning every contest recorded for this person in Akashic Edge.

Claim type

Deterministic summaries, calculated scores, and certified election history. No freeform AI prose.

Source chain

MethodologyCertified contest returnsCandidate scoring inputs
Open methodology

Career Margin Trend2 races

R+10EvenD+101958: D+6.4 - Click to view1960: D+1.3 - Click to view19581960

Career Timeline

1,602,022
Candidate Votes
49.2%
Vote %
3,255,991
Total Votes
+1.3%
Margin
Electoral Performance
+16.5
Race Score
+16.5
vs. State Pres.
D+17.8
State Pres.
Top opponent: John B. SwainsonDEM

Geographic Performance

2 races with county data

County-level results, strongest and weakest counties, and performance by county type.

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County Results Table

Sortable, searchable table of every county result for each race.

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Demographic Coalition Analysis

2 races available

Scatter plots correlating county performance with demographics: race, education, income, foreign-born.

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Historian Query

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Interactive AI-powered chat about Paul D. Bagwell's career, opponents, and performance.

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