Skip to main content
New Mexico State Senate District 38

New Mexico State Senate District 38

New Mexico · Latest: 2024↓ R+6.6 vs 2020

Leans Democratic — shifted 6.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 47K residents

Ask HistorianOpen in ExploreCompareShare image

New Mexico State Senate District 38 is a state senate district that has a population of 47,100. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+13.4. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

New Mexico State Senate District 38 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202455.6%42.3%D+13.4R+6.6
202058.8%38.9%D+19.9R+3.9
201656.6%32.8%D+23.9D+2.0
201260.9%39.1%D+21.8R+2.0
200861.4%37.5%D+23.9—
Political Identity

What defines NM-SD-38?

It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore NM-SD-38's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Margins have been narrowing — from 23.9pp to 13.4pp over the last 3 presidential elections
  • Turnout decreased by 95.0 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
NM-SD-38Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
Hispanic 66.5%White (Non-Hispanic) 26.8%Black 2.3%Native American 2.1%Asian 1.6%Multiracial 0.7%
GroupNM-SD-38StateNational
Hispanic / Latino
66.5%48.4%19.3%
White (Non-Hispanic)
26.8%36.0%57.4%
Black / African American
2.3%2.1%12.2%
Native American / Alaska Native
2.1%9.5%0.9%
Asian
1.6%1.8%6.0%
Multiracial / Other
0.7%2.1%4.0%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.1%0.1%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in New Mexico State Senate District 38? 47,100 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
NM-SD-38 vs New Mexico vs National47K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
47K
local
47KState 2.1MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.01%
local
0.01%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
78.9%
local
78.9%State 76.3%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $65,558National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.9%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 30.6%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 70.0%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.8%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 19.3%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 9.4%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 31.3%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 68.7%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in NM-SD-38

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
46.9%
vs Previous
-95.0pp
Voting-Age Pop
37,142
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is NM-SD-38?

Safe DAvg margin: D+19.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+23.9
2012
D+21.8
2016
D+23.9
2020
D+19.9
2024
D+13.4
Elasticity
10.5pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+20.6

Other New Mexico State Senate Districts

41 total
NameMargin ↓
NM-SD-25D+63.5
NM-SD-16D+53.2
NM-SD-24D+51.0
NM-SD-06D+40.2
NM-SD-13D+39.8
NM-SD-17D+27.7
NM-SD-05D+25.8
NM-SD-39D+25.6
NM-SD-10D+25.2
NM-SD-15D+23.7
NM-SD-18D+22.1
NM-SD-22D+19.7
NM-SD-26D+18.5
NM-SD-20D+18.5
NM-SD-09D+16.2
NM-SD-11D+16.0
NM-SD-03D+15.7
NM-SD-37D+14.5
NM-SD-14D+12.3
NM-SD-04D+11.7
NM-SD-23D+11.1
NM-SD-08D+8.7
NM-SD-21D+8.6
NM-SD-31D+8.1
NM-SD-36D+7.2
Upgrade Path

Unlock Legislative District Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.
Target plan Pro$33/mo
Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.
Precinct-Level Data
See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct
Smart Insights
Automated highlights from recent election patterns
Full Historical Access
165 years of election data at every level of geography
CSV Exports
Download any table or chart as a CSV file
Upgrade to Pro$33/mo