How did MA-SD-D38, Massachusetts vote in the 2024 presidential election?

MA-SD-D38, Massachusetts voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+3.0. Kamala D Harris received 37,257 votes and Donald Trump received 35,038 out of 74,345 total votes cast, a 12.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is MA-SD-D38, Massachusetts's political history?

MA-SD-D38, Massachusetts has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 18.6 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of MA-SD-D38, Massachusetts?

MA-SD-D38, Massachusetts has a population of 167,628 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 69.2% non-Hispanic white, 16.0% Hispanic, 4.3% Black.

Which places are most similar to MA-SD-D38, Massachusetts?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state senate districts to MA-SD-D38, Massachusetts are New York State Senate District 40, Massachusetts State Senate District D10, Massachusetts State Senate District D37. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Massachusetts State Senate District D38

Massachusetts · Latest: 2024↓ R+12.5 vs 2020

Competitive — shifted 12.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 168K residents

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Similarity Explorer

Similar state senate districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

New York State Senate District 40NY

Urban Competitive

D+8.8

Similarity score96%

Massachusetts State Senate District D10MA

Urban Competitive

D+15.1

Similarity score94%

Massachusetts State Senate District D37MA

Urban Competitive

R+6.9

Similarity score94%

Massachusetts State Senate District D22MA

Urban Competitive

D+22.8

Similarity score93%

Massachusetts State Senate District D02MA

Urban Competitive

D+8.9

Similarity score92%

Massachusetts State Senate District D04MA

Urban Competitive

D+7.9

Similarity score92%

Connecticut State Senate District 13CT

Urban Competitive

D+15.0

Similarity score91%

Massachusetts State Senate District D24MA

Urban Competitive

D+18.4

Similarity score91%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore MA-SD-D38's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Massachusetts State Senate District D38 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

MA-SD-D38Census ACS 2024

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 69.2%Hispanic 16.0%Multiracial 8.4%Black 4.3%Asian 1.3%Native American 0.9%

Group	MA-SD-D38	State	National
White (Non-Hispanic)	69.2%	66.6%	57.4%
Hispanic / Latino	16.0%	13.3%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	8.4%	5.7%	4.0%
Black / African American	4.3%	6.8%	12.2%
Asian	1.3%	7.3%	6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native	0.9%	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Massachusetts State Senate District D38? 167,628 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

MA-SD-D38 vs Massachusetts vs National168K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

168K

local

168KState 7.0MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.05%

local

0.05%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

79.9%

local

79.9%State 77.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $106,183National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 10.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 47.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 62.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 40.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 16.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 17.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 18.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 25.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 74.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in MA-SD-D38

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

55.5%

vs Previous

+0.9pp

Voting-Age Pop

133,908

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is MA-SD-D38?

Likely DAvg margin: D+12.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+37.0

2012

D+37.2

2016

D+18.6

2020

D+15.5

2024

D+3.0

Elasticity

34.2pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+22.3

Other Massachusetts State Senate Districts

39 total

Name	Margin ↓
MA-SD-D29	D+73.3
MA-SD-D17	D+61.1
MA-SD-D27	D+61.1
MA-SD-D28	D+60.9
MA-SD-D26	D+54.9
MA-SD-D30	D+48.1
MA-SD-D15	D+42.2
MA-SD-D05	D+41.6
MA-SD-D12	D+40.4
MA-SD-D13	D+39.5
MA-SD-D18	D+34.0
MA-SD-D25	D+33.7
MA-SD-D01	D+33.0
MA-SD-D16	D+31.8
MA-SD-D23	D+31.4
MA-SD-D09	D+29.2
MA-SD-D03	D+29.1
MA-SD-D40	D+27.3
MA-SD-D14	D+23.0
MA-SD-D22	D+22.8
MA-SD-D21	D+22.3
MA-SD-D34	D+22.0
MA-SD-D33	D+20.0
MA-SD-D08	D+19.7
MA-SD-D24	D+18.4

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