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Tennessee State House District 38

Tennessee State House District 38

Tennessee · Latest: 2024↓ R+3.5 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 68K residents

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Tennessee State House District 38 is a state house district that has a population of 68,170. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+74.1. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Tennessee State House District 38 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202412.6%86.7%R+74.1R+3.5
2020*14.3%84.9%R+70.6R+4.8
2016*16.0%81.8%R+65.8R+15.5
2012*24.9%75.1%R+50.3R+11.2
2008*29.2%68.3%R+39.1—

* Pre-2022 results projected onto current district boundaries. Actual boundaries at the time of the election may have differed.

Political Identity

What defines TN-HD-38?

TN-HD-38 has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore TN-HD-38's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 74.1% margin
  • Shifted 23.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
TN-HD-38Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 93.2%Hispanic 3.3%Multiracial 2.7%Black 0.4%
GroupTN-HD-38StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
93.2%71.0%57.4%
Hispanic / Latino
3.3%7.4%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
2.7%3.7%4.0%
Black / African American
0.4%15.6%12.2%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.3%0.3%0.9%
Asian
0.2%1.9%6.0%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Tennessee State House District 38? 68,170 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
TN-HD-38 vs Tennessee vs National68K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
68K
local
68KState 7.1MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.02%
local
0.02%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
77.3%
local
77.3%State 75.8%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $71,186National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 13.8%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 31.3%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 66.9%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 39.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 15.8%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 17.1%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 6.1%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 8.6%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 91.4%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in TN-HD-38

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
59.5%
vs Previous
-51.0pp
Voting-Age Pop
52,682
History
2008–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is TN-HD-38?

Safe RAvg margin: R+70.2 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+39.1
2012
R+50.3
2016
R+65.8
2020
R+70.6
2024
R+74.1
Elasticity
35.0pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+60.0

Other Tennessee State House Districts

98 total
NameMargin ↓
TN-HD-84D+75.7
TN-HD-85D+74.0
TN-HD-91D+70.3
TN-HD-87D+67.3
TN-HD-54D+60.2
TN-HD-58D+55.3
TN-HD-93D+53.3
TN-HD-28D+48.5
TN-HD-96D+46.3
TN-HD-86D+44.7
TN-HD-88D+42.4
TN-HD-98D+42.4
TN-HD-55D+42.0
TN-HD-51D+37.2
TN-HD-52D+36.6
TN-HD-15D+33.1
TN-HD-56D+29.5
TN-HD-53D+22.8
TN-HD-90D+13.6
TN-HD-60D+10.5
TN-HD-80D+7.2
TN-HD-97D+4.9
TN-HD-50D+4.5
TN-HD-59D+2.4
TN-HD-67R+1.9
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