How did NJ-HD-38, New Jersey vote in the 2024 presidential election?

NJ-HD-38, New Jersey voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+0.0. Kamala D Harris received 52,797 votes and Donald Trump received 52,815 out of 107,926 total votes cast, a 14.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is NJ-HD-38, New Jersey's political history?

NJ-HD-38, New Jersey has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. Democrats have won 4 and Republicans 1 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 14.3 points in 2024.

What are the demographics of NJ-HD-38, New Jersey?

NJ-HD-38, New Jersey has a population of 224,696 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 53.8% non-Hispanic white, 22.2% Hispanic, 4.3% Black. About 49% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $127,347.

Which places are most similar to NJ-HD-38, New Jersey?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to NJ-HD-38, New Jersey are New York Assembly District 13, New Jersey General Assembly District 14, Illinois State House District 56. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

New Jersey General Assembly District 38

New Jersey · Latest: 2024↓ R+14.3 vs 2020

Shifted 14.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 225K residents

Ask Atlas Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024

Full history

2008
D+6.5
Obama
2012
D+12.3
Obama
2016
D+10.6
Clinton
2020
D+14.2
Biden
2024
EVEN
Trump

Who lives here

Full breakdown

White53.8%
Hispanic22.2%
Asian17.3%

Economy & age

Population: 225K
Median age: 42.2; +4.9pp vs U.S.
Median income: $127K; +$67K vs U.S.
College+: 49%; +19.5pp vs U.S.

Faith & language

Full detail

Catholic35.1%
Other6.1%

57% English only43% Non-English

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

New York Assembly District 13NY

Urban Competitive

D+5.4

Similarity score98%

New Jersey General Assembly District 14NJ

Urban Competitive

D+10.8

Similarity score96%

Illinois State House District 56IL

Urban Competitive

D+11.4

Similarity score96%

New York Assembly District 10NY

Urban Competitive

D+4.7

Similarity score96%

California Assembly District 66CA

Urban Democratic

D+23.3

Similarity score96%

Nevada State House District 5NV

Urban Competitive

D+2.1

Similarity score95%

New Jersey General Assembly District 19NJ

Diverse urban democratic

D+1.0

Similarity score94%

Nevada State House District 2NV

Urban Competitive

R+5.6

Similarity score94%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore NJ-HD-38's political evolution with the Historian

“How has New Jersey General Assembly District 38 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

NJ-HD-38Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 53.8%Hispanic 22.2%Asian 17.3%Black 4.3%Multiracial 2.1%

Group	NJ-HD-38	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	53.8%	58.7%	63.3%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	22.2%	17.9%	16.2%
▶Asian(6)	17.3%	8.2%	4.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	4.5%	—	0.9%
▶Black / African American(12)	4.3%	13.4%	12.4%
Multiracial / Other	2.1%	1.6%	2.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.3%	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Who lives in New Jersey General Assembly District 38? 224,696 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

NJ-HD-38 vs New Jersey vs National225K residents

49% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

225K

local

225KState 35.3MNational 1236.3M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.02%

local

0.02%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

78.8%

local

78.8%State 39.2%National 39.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$127,347

local

$127,347State $77,283National $60,585

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.5%

local

6.5%State 9.5%National 13.4%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

49.2%

local

49.2%State 36.4%National 29.7%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

69.0%

local

69.0%State 65.1%National 65.4%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.2 yrs

local

42.2 yrsState 38.8 yrsNational 37.3 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.6%

local

13.6%State 11.4%National 12.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.3%

local

18.3%State 11.5%National 11.4%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

32.0%

local

32.0%State 20.8%National 12.8%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.9%

local

42.9%State 29.3%National 20.3%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

57.1%

local

57.1%State 70.7%National 79.7%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in NJ-HD-38

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ voting-age population (VAP). Source: PL 94-171 2020 Census.

2024 Turnout

61.0%

vs Previous

-6.0pp

Voting-Age Pop

177,044

History

2008–2024

Contained geographies

Counties in NJ-HD-38

Counties that overlap NJ-HD-38.

Counties

(1)

Bergen100%

Other New Jersey State House Districts

78 total

Name	Margin ↓
NJ-HD-28	D+76.7
NJ-HD-32	D+43.2
NJ-HD-15	D+41.5
NJ-HD-29	D+41.0
NJ-HD-34	D+40.2
NJ-HD-17	D+32.0
NJ-HD-27	D+31.1
NJ-HD-05	D+29.1
NJ-HD-07	D+28.8
NJ-HD-06	D+27.6
NJ-HD-31	D+27.5
NJ-HD-22	D+24.8
NJ-HD-20	D+24.2
NJ-HD-37	D+23.1
NJ-HD-16	D+13.8
NJ-HD-33	D+12.8
NJ-HD-35	D+12.4
NJ-HD-21	D+12.0
NJ-HD-14	D+10.8
NJ-HD-18	D+10.2
NJ-HD-11	D+4.2
NJ-HD-02	D+1.5
NJ-HD-04	D+1.3
NJ-HD-19	D+1.0
NJ-HD-08	D+1.0

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