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New Hampshire State House District 415

New Hampshire State House District 415

New Hampshire · Latest: 2024↑ D+2.2 vs 2020

Safe Democratic

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New Hampshire State House District 415 is a state house district that has election data on Akashic Edge. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+50.1. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

New Hampshire State House District 415 Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202474.4%24.2%D+50.1D+2.2
202073.4%25.5%D+47.9D+7.2
201666.6%25.9%D+40.7D+1.8
201269.4%30.6%D+38.9R+0.4
200869.2%29.9%D+39.3—
Political Identity

What defines NH-HD-415?

NH-HD-415 has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 11pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles.

Historian Query

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Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 50.1% margin
  • Shifted 11.2 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
Competitiveness

How competitive is NH-HD-415?

Safe DAvg margin: D+46.2 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+39.3
2012
D+38.9
2016
D+40.7
2020
D+47.9
2024
D+50.1
Elasticity
11.2pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+43.4

Other New Hampshire State House Districts

163 total
NameMargin ↓
NH-HD-412D+71.0
NH-HD-413D+50.4
NH-HD-414D+49.8
NH-HD-810D+44.9
NH-HD-726D+41.8
NH-HD-727D+41.7
NH-HD-728D+41.7
NH-HD-722D+39.4
NH-HD-533D+36.6
NH-HD-901D+36.4
NH-HD-201D+34.1
NH-HD-203D+34.0
NH-HD-721D+33.8
NH-HD-202D+33.8
NH-HD-204D+33.7
NH-HD-207D+33.6
NH-HD-711D+33.0
NH-HD-813D+30.8
NH-HD-815D+30.8
NH-HD-814D+30.7
NH-HD-817D+30.7
NH-HD-816D+30.6
NH-HD-811D+30.1
NH-HD-710D+29.3
NH-HD-902D+29.3
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