How did MT-HD-53, Montana vote in the 2024 presidential election?

MT-HD-53, Montana voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+40.0. Kamala D Harris received 2,981 votes and Donald Trump received 7,119 out of 10,357 total votes cast, a 0.4-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is MT-HD-53, Montana's political history?

MT-HD-53, Montana has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 24.4 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of MT-HD-53, Montana?

MT-HD-53, Montana has a population of 10,779 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 88.7% non-Hispanic white, 4.0% Hispanic. About 44% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $103,106.

Which places are most similar to MT-HD-53, Montana?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar state house districts to MT-HD-53, Montana are Montana State House District 45, Montana State House District 56, Montana State House District 55. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Montana State House District 53

Montana · Latest: 2024→ Even vs 2020

11K residents

Ask Atlas Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024

Full history

2008
R+32.1
McCain
2012
R+20.4
Romney
2016
R+44.8
Trump
2020
R+40.4
Trump
2024
R+40.0
Trump

Who lives here

Full breakdown

White88.7%
Hispanic4.0%
Multiracial3.7%

Economy & age

Population: 11K
Median age: 34.6; −4.5pp vs U.S.
Median income: $103K; +$19K vs U.S.
College+: 44%; +8.3pp vs U.S.

Faith & language

Full detail

Evangelical13.9%
Catholic7.6%

96% English only4% Non-English

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Montana State House District 45MT

Suburban Republican

R+34.0

Similarity score99%

Montana State House District 56MT

Suburban Republican

R+44.8

Similarity score98%

Montana State House District 55MT

Suburban Republican

R+42.2

Similarity score97%

Kansas State House District 93KS

Suburban Republican

R+49.1

Similarity score97%

Missouri State House District 59MO

Suburban Republican

R+49.5

Similarity score97%

Missouri State House District 162MO

Suburban Republican

R+50.7

Similarity score97%

Missouri State House District 33MO

Suburban Republican

R+21.1

Similarity score97%

Missouri State House District 119MO

Suburban Republican

R+41.1

Similarity score97%

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore MT-HD-53's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Montana State House District 53 voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

MT-HD-53Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 88.7%Hispanic 4.0%Multiracial 3.7%Native American 2.1%Asian 1.0%Black 0.5%

Group	MT-HD-53	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12)	88.7%	83.6%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(3)	4.0%	4.6%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.7%	4.9%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	2.1%	5.6%	0.9%
Asian	1.0%	0.8%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(1)	0.5%	0.5%	12.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Who lives in Montana State House District 53? 10,779 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

MT-HD-53 vs Montana vs National11K residents

44% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

11K

local

11KState 1.1MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.00%

local

0.00%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.8%

local

73.8%State 76.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$103,106

local

$103,106State $73,049National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.5%

local

4.5%State 11.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

43.9%

local

43.9%State 35.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

85.3%

local

85.3%State 69.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

34.6 yrs

local

34.6 yrsState 40.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.1%

local

12.1%State 15.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.9%

local

17.9%State 20.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.5%

local

2.5%State 2.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.5%

local

4.5%State 4.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.5%

local

95.5%State 95.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in MT-HD-53

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ voting-age population (VAP). Source: PL 94-171 2020 Census.

2024 Turnout

130.3%

vs Previous

+8.7pp

Voting-Age Pop

7,951

History

2008–2024

Contained geographies

Counties in MT-HD-53

Counties that overlap MT-HD-53.

Counties

(1)

Yellowstone100%

Other Montana State House Districts

198 total

Name	Margin ↓
MT-HD-91	D+62.5
MT-HD-100	D+57.4
MT-HD-95	D+42.6
MT-HD-90	D+40.5
MT-HD-62	D+34.7
MT-HD-66	D+33.9
MT-HD-16	D+27.2
MT-HD-61	D+23.9
MT-HD-99	D+23.8
MT-HD-98	D+18.8
MT-HD-89	D+18.8
MT-HD-63	D+17.3
MT-HD-74	D+15.1
MT-HD-65	D+14.6
MT-HD-05	D+11.6
MT-HD-76	D+10.8
MT-HD-79	D+8.8
MT-HD-82	D+8.4
MT-HD-32	D+8.2
MT-HD-83	D+7.6
MT-HD-47	D+7.0
MT-HD-94	D+6.6
MT-HD-81	D+5.3
MT-HD-60	D+3.3
MT-HD-15	D+3.1

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