Michigan State House District 31
Competitive — shifted 4.9pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 88K residents
Michigan State House District 31 is a state house district that has a population of 88,385. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+2.7. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.6% | 50.3% | R+2.7 | D+4.9 |
| 2020 | 45.5% | 53.1% | R+7.6 | R+7.7 |
| 2016 | 47.5% | 47.4% | D+0.1 | R+15.3 |
| 2012 | 57.7% | 42.3% | D+15.4 | R+3.6 |
| 2008 | 58.5% | 39.5% | D+19.0 | — |
What defines MI-HD-31?
MI-HD-31 has been won by both parties in the last 5 presidential elections (3D, 2R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a working-class electorate (0% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- The 2016 election was decided by just 0.1 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2016, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 26.6 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | MI-HD-31 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 71.0% | 72.4% | 57.4% |
Black / African American | 18.7% | 13.3% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 3.1% | 5.9% | 19.3% |
Asian | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% |
Who lives in Michigan State House District 31? 88,385 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in MI-HD-31
How competitive is MI-HD-31?
Other Michigan State House Districts
109 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| MI-HD-01 | D+63.7 |
| MI-HD-06 | D+63.2 |
| MI-HD-07 | D+61.6 |
| MI-HD-09 | D+60.1 |
| MI-HD-70 | D+55.4 |
| MI-HD-18 | D+53.5 |
| MI-HD-05 | D+51.8 |
| MI-HD-16 | D+51.2 |
| MI-HD-82 | D+51.1 |
| MI-HD-32 | D+50.9 |
| MI-HD-41 | D+50.9 |
| MI-HD-08 | D+49.7 |
| MI-HD-33 | D+49.2 |
| MI-HD-04 | D+47.2 |
| MI-HD-10 | D+35.6 |
| MI-HD-17 | D+34.0 |
| MI-HD-74 | D+33.7 |
| MI-HD-12 | D+33.4 |
| MI-HD-19 | D+32.1 |
| MI-HD-14 | D+31.7 |
| MI-HD-94 | D+30.7 |
| MI-HD-53 | D+28.8 |
| MI-HD-11 | D+28.7 |
| MI-HD-03 | D+28.4 |
| MI-HD-23 | D+27.5 |