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Maine State House District 38

Maine State House District 38

Maine · Latest: 2024↓ R+47.6 vs 2020

Leans Republican — shifted 47.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 9K residents

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Maine State House District 38 is a state house district that has a population of 9,332. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+11.9.

Maine State House District 38 Presidential Election Results, 2020–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202442.3%54.2%R+11.9R+47.6
202066.4%30.8%D+35.7—
Political Identity

What defines ME-HD-38?

ME-HD-38 is a solidly Republican rural geography with a R+11.9 margin in 2024. It shifted 47.6pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. It has a population of 9K.

Similarity Explorer

Similar state house districts

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Historian Query

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Explore ME-HD-38's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has flipped parties 1 time since 2020
  • Highly elastic — margins have ranged 47.6 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
  • Swung 47.6 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
ME-HD-38Census ACS 2024
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 78.2%Black 10.0%Hispanic 5.0%Multiracial 4.2%Asian 2.2%Native American 0.4%
GroupME-HD-38StateNational
White (Non-Hispanic)
78.2%89.9%57.4%
Black / African American
10.0%1.8%12.2%
Hispanic / Latino
5.0%2.2%19.3%
Multiracial / Other
4.2%4.5%4.0%
Asian
2.2%1.2%6.0%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.4%0.4%0.9%
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.1%<0.1%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Detailed ancestry data unavailable for this geography.

Who lives in Maine State House District 38? 9,332 residents as of the 2020 Census.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
ME-HD-38 vs Maine vs National9K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
9K
local
9KState 1.4MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.00%
local
0.00%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
88.5%
local
88.5%State 79.1%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState $76,630National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 10.8%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 36.1%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 74.3%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 44.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 13.7%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 22.4%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 4.1%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 6.0%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/AState 94.0%National 77.8%
Competitiveness

How competitive is ME-HD-38?

Likely DAvg margin: D+11.9 (last 3 elections)
2020
D+35.7
2024
R+11.9
Elasticity
47.6pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+11.9

Other Maine State House Districts

150 total
NameMargin ↓
ME-HD-119D+65.2
ME-HD-113D+65.2
ME-HD-115D+65.1
ME-HD-117D+65.1
ME-HD-114D+65.0
ME-HD-118D+65.0
ME-HD-116D+64.8
ME-HD-123D+57.2
ME-HD-112D+57.0
ME-HD-103D+54.6
ME-HD-120D+51.7
ME-HD-121D+51.5
ME-HD-122D+51.4
ME-HD-41D+50.1
ME-HD-101D+45.4
ME-HD-100D+45.2
ME-HD-110D+43.5
ME-HD-102D+42.2
ME-HD-151D+41.7
ME-HD-111D+41.4
ME-HD-14D+40.9
ME-HD-25D+39.9
ME-HD-50D+36.7
ME-HD-135D+32.8
ME-HD-127D+32.5
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