Arkansas State House District 21
Safe Democratic — shifted 48.1pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 27K residents
Arkansas State House District 21 is a state house district that has a population of 27,300. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+44.3. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 70.3% | 26.1% | D+44.3 | D+48.1 |
| 2020 | 46.6% | 50.4% | R+3.9 | R+40.5 |
| 2016 | 62.9% | 26.3% | D+36.6 | D+4.2 |
| 2012 | 66.2% | 33.8% | D+32.3 | R+3.4 |
| 2008 | 66.4% | 30.7% | D+35.8 | — |
What defines AR-HD-21?
AR-HD-21 has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Similar state house districts
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Key Insights
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 44.3% margin
- Swung 48.1 points toward Democratic between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2020
Who Lives Here
| Group | AR-HD-21 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
White (Non-Hispanic) | 84.4% | 67.4% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
Hispanic / Latino | 4.8% | 9.0% | 19.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Asian | 1.7% | 1.6% | 6.0% |
Black / African American | 0.6% | 14.7% | 12.2% |
Who lives in Arkansas State House District 21? 27,300 residents as of the 2020 Census.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in AR-HD-21
How competitive is AR-HD-21?
Other Arkansas State House Districts
99 total| Name | Margin ↓ |
|---|---|
| AR-HD-76 | D+73.7 |
| AR-HD-79 | D+62.8 |
| AR-HD-77 | D+58.0 |
| AR-HD-80 | D+53.2 |
| AR-HD-64 | D+51.3 |
| AR-HD-74 | D+47.2 |
| AR-HD-65 | D+47.2 |
| AR-HD-72 | D+44.7 |
| AR-HD-66 | D+33.3 |
| AR-HD-63 | D+25.3 |
| AR-HD-20 | D+22.1 |
| AR-HD-73 | D+18.5 |
| AR-HD-75 | D+10.8 |
| AR-HD-49 | D+9.9 |
| AR-HD-62 | D+2.2 |
| AR-HD-70 | D+1.7 |
| AR-HD-09 | D+1.2 |
| AR-HD-67 | R+0.3 |
| AR-HD-22 | R+1.9 |
| AR-HD-71 | R+2.6 |
| AR-HD-56 | R+4.7 |
| AR-HD-19 | R+6.8 |
| AR-HD-35 | R+7.9 |
| AR-HD-13 | R+9.0 |
| AR-HD-10 | R+9.6 |