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Modesto, CA

Modesto, CA

Latest: 2024↓ R+11.7 vs 2020

Leans Republican — shifted 11.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 554K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry
Group%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
36.3%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)
50.0%
▶Black / African American(11)
2.7%
▶Asian(6)
6.1%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)
1.8%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)
1.4%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6)
0.7%
Multiracial / Other
2.8%
View full demographics →
Religious adherence
Tradition% Pop% Adherents
Catholic20.9%54.2%
Evangelical Protestant11.3%29.3%
Other4.9%12.6%
LDS (Mormon)2.2%5.7%
Mainline Protestant0.9%2.3%
Black Protestant0.5%1.2%
Orthodox Christian0.2%0.5%
Non-religious61.4%—
View full religion →
Presidential results
YearResult
2024Trump+11.0
2020Biden+0.8
2016Clinton+1.8
2012Obama+2.7
2008Obama+1.7
2004Bush+18.3
2000Bush+8.4
1996Clinton+1.1
1992Clinton+4.0
View full election history →
Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Modesto, CA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotal
Stanislaus554K
R+11.0
85,347106,986197,472
1 countiesTotal votes: 197,472
Historian Query

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Explore Modesto, CA's political evolution with the Historian
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Modesto, CACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
Hispanic 50.0%White (Non-Hispanic) 36.3%Asian 6.1%Multiracial 2.8%Black 2.7%Native American 1.4%Native Hawaiian 0.7%
GroupModesto, CANational
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)
50.0%19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
36.3%57.4%
▶Asian(6)
6.1%6.0%
Multiracial / Other
2.8%4.0%
▶Black / African American(11)
2.7%12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)
1.8%0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)
1.4%0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6)
0.7%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
38.6%(214.1K people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions
Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Catholic
20.9%54.2%——
Evangelical Protestant
11.3%29.3%——
Other
4.9%12.6%——
LDS (Mormon)
2.2%5.7%——
Mainline Protestant
0.9%2.3%——
Black Protestant
0.5%1.2%——
Orthodox Christian
0.2%0.5%——
Non-religiousPopulation
61.4%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Modesto, CA metro area? 553,990 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Modesto, CA vs National554K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
554K
local
554KNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.17%
local
0.17%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
72.3%
local
72.3%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$81,468
local
$81,468National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
13.5%
local
13.5%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
19.6%
local
19.6%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
61.2%
local
61.2%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
34.9 yrs
local
34.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
16.3%
local
16.3%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
13.8%
local
13.8%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
21.0%
local
21.0%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
43.0%
local
43.0%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
57.0%
local
57.0%National 77.8%
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