Willacy County, Texas
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 15.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 29 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 9.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 87.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.5% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 13.2% | 57.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.2% | 22.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.5% | 11.0% |
| Other | 2.0% | 8.8% |
| Non-religious | 77.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+3.3 |
| 2020 | Biden+12.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+36.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+43.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+39.8 |
| 2004 | Kerry+10.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+28.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+45.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+33.9 |
Willacy, Texas is a county that has a population of 20,139. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+3.3. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.0% | 51.3% | R+3.3 | R+15.3 |
| 2020 | 56.0% | 44.0% | D+12.0 | R+24.8 |
| 2016 | 67.2% | 30.4% | D+36.8 | R+6.3 |
| 2012 | 71.1% | 28.0% | D+43.1 | D+3.3 |
| 2008 | 69.5% | 29.7% | D+39.8 | D+29.3 |
| 2004 | 55.1% | 44.5% | D+10.6 | R+17.6 |
| 2000 | 63.6% | 35.3% | D+28.2 | R+17.2 |
| 1996 | 70.0% | 24.6% | D+45.4 | D+11.5 |
| 1992 | 61.0% | 27.0% | D+33.9 | D+5.3 |
| 1988 | 64.1% | 35.4% | D+28.6 | D+15.7 |
| 1984 | 56.3% | 43.4% | D+12.9 | R+7.7 |
| 1980 | 59.7% | 39.1% | D+20.6 | R+11.0 |
| 1976 | 65.5% | 33.8% | D+31.6 | D+56.7 |
| 1972 | 37.1% | 62.1% | R+25.0 | R+43.9 |
| 1968 | 53.1% | 34.2% | D+18.9 | R+8.3 |
| 1964 | 63.5% | 36.3% | D+27.2 | D+5.9 |
| 1960 | 60.5% | 39.2% | D+21.3 | D+34.7 |
| 1956 | 42.8% | 56.2% | R+13.4 | D+12.3 |
| 1952 | 37.0% | 62.8% | R+25.7 | R+49.8 |
| 1948 | 59.2% | 35.1% | D+24.1 | — |
What defines Willacy?
Willacy has been trending Republican — 46pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
Current Texas Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%
8 pollsStale
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Swung 15.3 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
Located In
Willacy sits inside these higher-level geographies.