Smith County, TX

TX · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+44.9
2024 Margin
R+5.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1952
Voting Streak
242K
Population

Smith County, TX (Texas) voted R+44.9 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 74,862 votes (71.85%) to 28,041 (26.91%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Smith County is classified as a deep Republican county. Smith County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952. The county has a population of approximately 241,740.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+44.9
2020→2024 SwingR+5.6%
Voting StreakR since 1952
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population241,740
Median Age
37.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
28.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$74,192(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
58.0%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
20.9%(US: 19.1%)
Black
16.5%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.7%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
68.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
11.6%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
11.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
39.5%(Major Center)
Catholic
9.6%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
5.3%
Black Protestant
4.2%(Above Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
18.7%Above Average(1.7x)
American Heritage
17.1%Significant Hub(3.2x)
English
11.8%(1.3x)
German
8.2%
Irish
7.4%
Italian
1.7%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:37.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.2%
18-29
9.5%
30-44
19.3%
45-64
29.6%
65+
17.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
11.5%
Manufacturing
9.5%
Professional & Technical
9.3%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
8.6%
Construction
7.2%
Healthcare & Social Services
6.1%(1.3x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202426.9%(28,041)71.8%(74,862)R+44.9R+5.6
202029.5%(29,615)68.8%(69,080)R+39.3D+3.9
201626.3%(22,300)69.5%(58,930)R+43.2D+1.9
201226.9%(21,456)72.0%(57,331)R+45.1R+5.5
200829.8%(23,726)69.4%(55,187)R+39.5D+5.8
200427.1%(19,970)72.5%(53,392)R+45.4R+1.1
200027.2%(16,470)71.5%(43,320)R+44.3R+18.4
199634.0%(18,265)60.0%(32,171)R+25.9R+8.6
199229.7%(17,514)47.0%(27,753)R+17.4D+12.4
198834.9%(18,719)64.7%(34,658)R+29.7D+15.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Smith County, TX19122024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202428.1%(28,971)71.9%(74,238)R+43.9R+2.6
202028.4%(28,385)69.7%(69,574)R+41.2R+1.7
201830.0%(23,182)69.5%(53,760)R+39.5D+15.9
201420.9%(10,110)76.3%(36,935)R+55.4R+13.2
201228.0%(22,037)70.3%(55,204)R+42.2R+1.7
200828.9%(22,613)69.4%(54,252)R+40.5D+9.2
200624.4%(10,359)74.1%(31,499)R+49.7R+10.2
200229.8%(13,984)69.3%(32,537)R+39.5D+10.3
200024.4%(14,734)74.2%(44,744)R+49.8R+17.3
199633.3%(17,911)65.7%(35,360)R+32.4D+4.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202224.6%(18,763)74.2%(56,608)R+49.6R+4.2
201826.7%(20,623)72.1%(55,708)R+45.4D+8.9
201422.2%(10,846)76.5%(37,360)R+54.3R+13.8
201028.3%(14,641)68.8%(35,565)R+40.5R+5.3
200619.6%(8,477)54.8%(23,701)R+35.2D+5.6
200229.0%(13,609)69.8%(32,763)R+40.8D+10.4
199824.2%(8,840)75.4%(27,579)R+51.2R+22.3
199435.3%(15,489)64.2%(28,172)R+28.9R+10.2
199038.9%(15,874)57.5%(23,493)R+18.6D+13.0
198633.6%(12,717)65.2%(24,698)R+31.6R+24.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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