Menard County, Texas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(8) | 70.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 25.7% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.4% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 25.4% | 50.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 13.0% | 26.0% |
| Catholic | 11.6% | 23.2% |
| Non-religious | 50.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+66.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+60.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+61.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+58.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+41.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+39.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+31.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+15.6 |
Menard, Texas is a county that has a population of 1,955. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+66.4. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.3% | 82.8% | R+66.4 | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | 19.2% | 80.1% | R+60.9 | D+0.2 |
| 2016 | 17.8% | 78.9% | R+61.1 | R+2.9 |
| 2012 | 20.1% | 78.3% | R+58.2 | R+17.2 |
| 2008 | 29.0% | 69.9% | R+41.0 | R+2.0 |
| 2004 | 30.0% | 69.0% | R+39.0 | R+7.9 |
| 2000 | 33.7% | 64.8% | R+31.1 | R+35.6 |
| 1996 | 47.0% | 42.5% | D+4.5 | R+11.1 |
| 1992 | 43.3% | 27.7% | D+15.6 | D+10.3 |
| 1988 | 52.4% | 47.1% | D+5.3 | D+34.7 |
| 1984 | 35.0% | 64.4% | R+29.4 | R+23.8 |
| 1980 | 46.6% | 52.2% | R+5.6 | R+15.8 |
| 1976 | 54.3% | 44.1% | D+10.2 | D+50.5 |
| 1972 | 29.6% | 69.9% | R+40.3 | R+27.0 |
| 1968 | 37.3% | 50.6% | R+13.3 | R+32.7 |
| 1964 | 59.7% | 40.3% | D+19.4 | D+30.0 |
| 1960 | 44.7% | 55.3% | R+10.7 | D+21.1 |
| 1956 | 34.1% | 65.9% | R+31.8 | D+4.0 |
| 1952 | 32.1% | 67.9% | R+35.8 | R+73.9 |
| 1948 | 66.6% | 28.4% | D+38.1 | — |
What defines Menard?
Menard is a deep Republican rural geography that has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. It shifted 5.5pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. Its 2K residents are working-class (24% hold a bachelor's degree).
County in State Context
Current Texas Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%
8 pollsHigh
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 66.4% margin
- Has flipped parties 11 times since 1872