Medina County, TX

TX · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+42.7
2024 Margin
R+3.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
54K
Population

Medina County, TX (Texas) voted R+42.7 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 17,464 votes (70.94%) to 6,950 (28.23%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Medina County is classified as a deep Republican county. Medina County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 53,547.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+42.7
2020→2024 SwingR+3.6%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population53,547
Median Age
39.8(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
23.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$78,074(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
42.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
51.5%(US: 19.1%)
Black
2.7%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
83.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
9.6%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
11.0%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
27.2%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
48.6%(Major Center)
Evangelical
14.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
LDS/Mormon
0.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
44.7%Major Concentration(4.0x)
German
14.0%
English
8.9%
Irish
7.6%
American Heritage
4.4%
French
2.3%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.8 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.4%
18-29
9.5%
30-44
18.5%
45-64
31.9%
65+
17.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
13.0%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
10.1%(0.9x US)
Construction
9.0%(1.3x US)
Educational Services
7.3%(0.9x US)
Manufacturing
6.2%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.5%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202428.2%(6,950)70.9%(17,464)R+42.7R+3.6
202029.9%(6,773)69.0%(15,642)R+39.1D+4.1
201626.9%(4,634)70.1%(12,085)R+43.2R+4.0
201229.8%(4,784)69.0%(11,079)R+39.2R+5.3
200832.7%(5,147)66.6%(10,480)R+33.9D+7.0
200429.1%(4,322)70.1%(10,389)R+40.9R+5.5
200031.3%(4,025)66.7%(8,590)R+35.5R+17.8
199637.4%(3,880)55.0%(5,710)R+17.6R+5.9
199233.8%(3,650)45.5%(4,912)R+11.7D+3.2
198842.1%(4,227)57.0%(5,722)R+14.9D+15.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Medina County, TX19122024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-60191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202430.3%(7,416)69.6%(17,032)R+39.3D+2.9
202027.9%(6,207)70.2%(15,594)R+42.3R+0.1
201828.6%(4,621)70.7%(11,444)R+42.2D+12.9
201420.7%(2,024)75.8%(7,405)R+55.1R+16.2
201229.1%(4,608)68.1%(10,765)R+38.9R+6.6
200832.8%(5,095)65.1%(10,120)R+32.3D+13.6
200625.9%(2,509)71.8%(6,955)R+45.9R+13.4
200232.9%(3,151)65.4%(6,268)R+32.5D+10.1
200027.6%(3,620)70.2%(9,204)R+42.6R+18.5
199637.3%(3,869)61.4%(6,367)R+24.1D+11.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202226.4%(4,591)72.6%(12,601)R+46.1D+3.9
201824.5%(3,964)74.5%(12,057)R+50.0R+2.4
201425.4%(2,506)73.0%(7,194)R+47.6R+15.9
201032.4%(3,578)64.1%(7,077)R+31.7R+11.5
200619.4%(1,908)39.6%(3,895)R+20.2D+16.8
200230.4%(2,967)67.4%(6,578)R+37.0D+17.3
199822.5%(1,647)76.8%(5,619)R+54.3R+28.9
199436.9%(3,073)62.3%(5,189)R+25.4R+7.8
199039.2%(2,727)56.9%(3,953)R+17.6D+1.3
198640.0%(2,675)58.9%(3,937)R+18.9R+19.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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