Karnes County, TX

TX · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+58.1
2024 Margin
R+6.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
15K
Population

Karnes County, TX (Texas) voted R+58.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 4,001 votes (78.84%) to 1,051 (20.71%) for Harris.

This represents a R+6.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Karnes County is classified as a deep Republican county. Karnes County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The county has a population of approximately 14,968.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+58.1
2020→2024 SwingR+6.1%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population14,968
Median Age
38.1(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
14.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$60,214(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
35.1%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
53.4%(US: 19.1%)
Black
8.0%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
62.4%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
19.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
3.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
26.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
41.4%(Major Center)
Evangelical
16.3%
Mainline Protestant
5.6%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
50.2%Major Concentration(4.5x)
German
10.3%
Polish
6.9%Significant Hub(2.8x)
Irish
5.3%
American Heritage
3.3%
English
2.8%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:38.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.4%
18-29
9.2%
30-44
23.0%
45-64
33.2%
65+
15.2%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ConstructionMajor Specialization
13.0%(1.9x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
10.8%(6.3x US)
Educational Services
9.8%(1.1x US)
Retail Trade
9.7%
Professional & Technical
6.0%(0.5x US)
Manufacturing
5.7%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202420.7%(1,051)78.8%(4,001)R+58.1R+6.1
202023.5%(1,234)75.5%(3,968)R+52.0R+8.7
201627.3%(1,145)70.6%(2,965)R+43.4R+7.5
201231.7%(1,325)67.5%(2,825)R+35.8R+14.3
200838.9%(1,760)60.4%(2,736)R+21.6D+12.1
200433.0%(1,543)66.6%(3,114)R+33.6R+9.9
200037.5%(1,617)61.2%(2,638)R+23.7R+30.3
199649.7%(2,154)43.1%(1,869)D+6.6D+8.6
199240.4%(1,897)42.3%(1,990)R+2.0R+4.9
198851.3%(2,529)48.3%(2,383)D+3.0D+28.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Karnes County, TX19122024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202423.5%(1,175)76.5%(3,835)R+53.1R+0.9
202023.1%(1,178)75.3%(3,833)R+52.2R+11.1
201829.1%(1,203)70.1%(2,900)R+41.0D+10.6
201422.7%(559)74.3%(1,832)R+51.6R+26.8
201236.1%(1,443)61.0%(2,435)R+24.9R+5.0
200838.9%(1,709)58.8%(2,581)R+19.9D+15.2
200631.4%(963)66.5%(2,036)R+35.0R+22.3
200243.1%(1,387)55.8%(1,796)R+12.7D+25.6
200030.0%(1,255)68.4%(2,856)R+38.3R+36.4
199648.3%(2,072)50.3%(2,156)R+2.0D+19.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202220.3%(776)78.8%(3,007)R+58.4R+10.7
201825.6%(1,054)73.3%(3,023)R+47.8R+5.9
201428.4%(715)70.2%(1,770)R+41.8R+24.7
201040.1%(1,211)57.3%(1,730)R+17.2R+12.1
200626.7%(851)31.7%(1,013)R+5.1D+12.7
200240.5%(1,342)58.3%(1,933)R+17.8D+21.5
199830.1%(935)69.5%(2,155)R+39.3R+27.1
199443.6%(1,895)55.9%(2,429)R+12.3D+7.2
199039.0%(1,267)58.5%(1,902)R+19.5R+2.2
198640.9%(1,496)58.2%(2,131)R+17.4R+30.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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