Jefferson County, TX

TX · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+8.9
2024 Margin
R+7.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
254K
Population

Jefferson County, TX (Texas) voted R+8.9 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 46,596 votes (53.91%) to 38,936 (45.05%) for Harris.

This represents a R+7.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Jefferson County is classified as a lean Republican county. Jefferson County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016. The county has a population of approximately 253,878.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+8.9
2020→2024 SwingR+7.3%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population253,878
Median Age
37.0(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
19.7%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$60,026(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
37.4%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
24.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
33.1%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
3.8%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
62.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
19.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
14.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
26.4%
Evangelical
25.5%(Above Average)
Black Protestant
9.8%(Unique Concentration)
Mainline Protestant
4.2%
LDS/Mormon
1.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
18.6%Above Average(1.7x)
German
5.5%
English
5.2%
Irish
5.0%
French
4.4%Above Average(2.3x)
American Heritage
3.0%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:37.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.6%
18-29
8.6%
30-44
20.6%
45-64
30.7%
65+
15.5%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ConstructionRegional Strength
11.9%(1.7x US)
Manufacturing
10.4%
Retail Trade
10.3%
Professional & Technical
9.4%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
9.2%
Healthcare & Social Services
5.0%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202445.0%(38,936)53.9%(46,596)R+8.9R+7.3
202048.6%(46,073)50.2%(47,570)R+1.6R+1.1
201648.4%(42,443)48.9%(42,862)R+0.5R+2.1
201250.3%(44,668)48.7%(43,242)D+1.6R+0.6
200850.8%(44,888)48.6%(42,905)D+2.2R+0.6
200451.2%(47,066)48.4%(44,423)D+2.9R+3.0
200052.3%(45,409)46.4%(40,320)D+5.9R+9.6
199654.3%(45,854)38.9%(32,821)D+15.4R+4.2
199250.7%(48,405)31.0%(29,622)D+19.7R+2.0
198860.7%(55,649)39.0%(35,754)D+21.7D+12.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Jefferson County, TX19122024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202446.7%(39,643)53.3%(45,288)R+6.6R+3.6
202047.5%(44,112)50.5%(46,928)R+3.0R+3.6
201850.0%(37,128)49.5%(36,731)D+0.5D+4.6
201446.9%(24,553)51.0%(26,687)R+4.1R+7.7
201251.1%(44,463)47.5%(41,337)D+3.6D+0.1
200851.1%(43,820)47.6%(40,800)D+3.5D+9.7
200646.3%(21,098)52.5%(23,901)R+6.2R+20.8
200256.7%(31,272)42.1%(23,217)D+14.6D+14.7
200049.3%(42,103)49.4%(42,217)R+0.1R+6.3
199652.5%(43,823)46.3%(38,640)D+6.2D+3.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202242.6%(26,617)56.0%(34,952)R+13.3R+7.3
201846.5%(34,516)52.5%(38,999)R+6.0R+4.0
201448.5%(25,799)50.5%(26,876)R+2.0D+0.3
201048.2%(26,437)50.5%(27,710)R+2.3R+5.3
200639.6%(18,519)36.6%(17,110)D+3.0R+9.2
200255.5%(30,751)43.3%(23,991)D+12.2D+15.2
199848.3%(29,767)51.3%(31,648)R+3.1R+14.2
199455.2%(36,346)44.0%(28,979)D+11.2R+17.8
199063.0%(40,288)33.9%(21,718)D+29.0D+7.9
198659.5%(34,847)38.5%(22,500)D+21.1R+15.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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