Question 1

How did Jefferson, Texas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Jefferson, Texas voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+8.9. Kamala D Harris received 38,936 votes and Donald Trump received 46,596 out of 86,314 total votes cast, a 7.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Jefferson, Texas's political history?

Accepted Answer

Jefferson, Texas has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. Democrats have won 32 and Republicans 6 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 78.6 points in 1932.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Jefferson, Texas?

Accepted Answer

Jefferson, Texas has a population of 253,878 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 36.3% non-Hispanic white, 24.1% Hispanic, 33.0% Black. About 20% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $60,026.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Jefferson, Texas?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Jefferson, Texas are Wayne, Cumberland, Wilson. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	36.3%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	24.1%
▶Black / African American(11)	33.0%
▶Asian(6)	3.8%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.6%
Multiracial / Other	2.1%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	26.4%	37.8%
Evangelical Protestant	25.5%	36.4%
Black Protestant	9.8%	14.0%
Mainline Protestant	4.2%	6.1%
Other	3.9%	5.6%
LDS (Mormon)	1.5%	2.2%
Non-religious	30.1%	—

Year	Result
2024	Trump+8.9
2020	Trump+1.6
2016	Trump+0.5
2012	Obama+1.6
2008	Obama+2.2
2004	Kerry+2.9
2000	Gore+5.9
1996	Clinton+15.4
1992	Clinton+19.7

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	45.1%	54.0%	R+8.9	R+7.3
2020	48.6%	50.2%	R+1.6	R+1.1
2016	48.4%	48.9%	R+0.5	R+2.1
2012	50.3%	48.7%	D+1.6	R+0.6
2008	50.8%	48.5%	D+2.2	R+0.6
2004	51.2%	48.4%	D+2.9	R+3.0
2000	52.2%	46.4%	D+5.9	R+9.6
1996	54.3%	38.9%	D+15.4	R+4.2
1992	50.7%	31.0%	D+19.7	R+2.0
1988	60.7%	39.0%	D+21.7	D+12.0
1984	54.7%	45.0%	D+9.7	R+0.8
1980	53.9%	43.5%	D+10.5	R+8.3
1976	59.1%	40.3%	D+18.8	D+39.8
1972	39.4%	60.4%	R+21.0	R+26.1
1968	38.6%	33.4%	D+5.2	R+16.3
1964	60.6%	39.1%	D+21.5	D+5.6
1960	57.6%	41.8%	D+15.8	D+24.9
1956	45.2%	54.3%	R+9.1	R+16.4
1952	53.6%	46.3%	D+7.3	R+42.6
1948	67.1%	17.2%	D+49.9	—

Jefferson County, Texas

County in State Context

Current Texas Polling

2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary

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