Question 1

How did Hays, Texas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Hays, Texas voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+5.6. Kamala D Harris received 65,528 votes and Donald Trump received 58,438 out of 125,827 total votes cast, a 5.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Hays, Texas's political history?

Accepted Answer

Hays, Texas has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. Democrats have won 27 and Republicans 12 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 105.6 points in 1932.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Hays, Texas?

Accepted Answer

Hays, Texas has a population of 268,638 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 50.5% non-Hispanic white, 39.4% Hispanic, 4.1% Black. About 43% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $89,097.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Hays, Texas?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Hays, Texas are Maricopa, Douglas, Arapahoe. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	50.5%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	39.4%
▶Black / African American(11)	4.1%
▶Asian(6)	2.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.5%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.7%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	3.1%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	17.0%	43.6%
Evangelical Protestant	15.2%	38.9%
Other	3.6%	9.1%
Mainline Protestant	3.1%	7.8%
LDS (Mormon)	1.8%	4.7%
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.4%
Non-religious	60.9%	—

Year	Result
2024	Harris+5.6
2020	Biden+10.8
2016	Trump+0.8
2012	Romney+10.4
2008	McCain+2.0
2004	Bush+14.4
2000	Bush+25.6
1996	Dole+4.8
1992	Clinton+3.1

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	52.1%	46.4%	D+5.6	R+5.2
2020	54.4%	43.6%	D+10.8	D+11.7
2016	46.0%	46.9%	R+0.8	D+9.6
2012	43.3%	53.7%	R+10.4	R+8.3
2008	48.1%	50.2%	R+2.0	D+12.4
2004	42.1%	56.5%	R+14.4	D+11.1
2000	33.2%	58.8%	R+25.6	R+20.8
1996	43.1%	47.9%	R+4.8	R+7.8
1992	39.8%	36.7%	D+3.1	D+5.3
1988	48.1%	50.4%	R+2.3	D+28.0
1984	34.7%	65.0%	R+30.3	R+26.5
1980	45.2%	49.0%	R+3.8	R+13.8
1976	54.4%	44.4%	D+10.0	D+24.1
1972	42.7%	56.8%	R+14.1	R+39.2
1968	57.4%	32.2%	D+25.1	R+24.3
1964	74.6%	25.3%	D+49.4	D+20.3
1960	64.5%	35.4%	D+29.1	D+25.4
1956	51.7%	48.0%	D+3.7	D+5.2
1952	49.2%	50.7%	R+1.5	R+57.9
1948	75.0%	18.6%	D+56.4	—

Hays County, Texas

County in State Context

Current Texas Polling

2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary

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