Hale County, Texas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 6.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 35 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 31.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 61.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 4.6% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 46.2% | 55.4% |
| Catholic | 28.4% | 34.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.2% | 6.2% |
| Other | 2.4% | 2.9% |
| Black Protestant | 1.1% | 1.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 16.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+57.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+51.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+48.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+48.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+44.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+58.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+51.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+27.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+32.6 |
Hale, Texas is a county that has a population of 32,131. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+57.9. Akashic Edge tracks 35 presidential elections here, dating back to 1888.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.5% | 78.4% | R+57.9 | R+6.8 |
| 2020 | 23.8% | 74.9% | R+51.1 | R+3.0 |
| 2016 | 23.7% | 71.9% | R+48.1 | R+0.2 |
| 2012 | 25.3% | 73.3% | R+48.0 | R+3.1 |
| 2008 | 27.2% | 72.1% | R+44.9 | D+13.7 |
| 2004 | 20.5% | 79.0% | R+58.6 | R+6.9 |
| 2000 | 23.7% | 75.4% | R+51.7 | R+24.0 |
| 1996 | 32.9% | 60.6% | R+27.7 | D+4.9 |
| 1992 | 27.0% | 59.6% | R+32.6 | R+4.3 |
| 1988 | 35.7% | 64.1% | R+28.4 | D+12.7 |
| 1984 | 29.4% | 70.4% | R+41.0 | R+7.8 |
| 1980 | 32.7% | 65.9% | R+33.2 | R+34.9 |
| 1976 | 50.7% | 49.0% | D+1.7 | D+54.7 |
| 1972 | 23.0% | 76.0% | R+53.0 | R+39.4 |
| 1968 | 32.0% | 45.6% | R+13.6 | R+37.0 |
| 1964 | 61.6% | 38.2% | D+23.4 | D+36.1 |
| 1960 | 43.3% | 56.1% | R+12.8 | R+13.3 |
| 1956 | 50.2% | 49.6% | D+0.6 | D+18.9 |
| 1952 | 40.7% | 59.1% | R+18.3 | R+74.5 |
| 1948 | 75.2% | 19.1% | D+56.2 | — |
What defines Hale?
Hale is a deep Republican exurban geography that has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. It shifted 6.8pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. Its 32K residents are working-class (15% hold a bachelor's degree).
County in State Context
Current Texas Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%
8 pollsHigh
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 57.9% margin
- Has flipped parties 9 times since 1888