Guadalupe County, TX

TX · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+29.4
2024 Margin
R+5.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
184K
Population

Guadalupe County, TX (Texas) voted R+29.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 54,691 votes (64.08%) to 29,573 (34.65%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Guadalupe County is classified as a solid Republican county. Guadalupe County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 183,642.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+29.4
2020→2024 SwingR+5.3%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population183,642
Median Age
37.6(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
31.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$92,375(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
48.0%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
39.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
7.4%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.7%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
77.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
9.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
13.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
21.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
16.2%
Catholic
10.3%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
Black Protestant
2.0%
LDS/Mormon
1.4%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
32.0%Significant Hub(2.9x)
German
16.6%(1.3x)
English
8.8%
Irish
8.3%
American Heritage
3.9%
Italian
2.5%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:37.6 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.1%
18-29
8.5%
30-44
20.9%
45-64
31.7%
65+
14.8%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
12.6%(1.2x US)
Manufacturing
10.9%(1.1x US)
Professional & Technical
9.9%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
8.8%
Construction
8.2%(1.2x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.4%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202434.6%(29,573)64.1%(54,691)R+29.4R+5.3
202037.0%(28,805)61.2%(47,553)R+24.1D+7.3
201631.6%(18,391)63.0%(36,632)R+31.4D+3.6
201231.7%(15,744)66.7%(33,117)R+35.0R+4.0
200834.0%(16,156)65.0%(30,869)R+31.0D+15.2
200426.6%(10,290)72.8%(28,208)R+46.2R+3.1
200027.2%(8,311)70.3%(21,499)R+43.1R+17.8
199633.1%(8,079)58.4%(14,254)R+25.3R+6.9
199228.4%(6,567)46.8%(10,818)R+18.4D+11.5
198834.5%(7,111)64.4%(13,265)R+29.9D+18.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Guadalupe County, TX19122024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-60191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202436.8%(30,981)63.1%(53,106)R+26.3D+1.8
202034.7%(26,697)62.8%(48,308)R+28.1R+2.7
201836.8%(20,079)62.2%(33,938)R+25.4D+22.8
201424.0%(7,267)72.2%(21,885)R+48.2R+13.5
201230.9%(14,892)65.6%(31,654)R+34.7R+3.4
200833.1%(15,293)64.4%(29,752)R+31.3D+11.7
200627.1%(6,661)70.2%(17,216)R+43.0R+3.3
200229.4%(6,376)69.1%(14,993)R+39.7D+14.2
200021.8%(6,551)75.7%(22,729)R+53.9R+20.8
199632.6%(7,892)65.7%(15,894)R+33.1D+5.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202233.8%(19,356)64.4%(36,882)R+30.6D+4.3
201831.7%(17,265)66.7%(36,284)R+35.0D+5.7
201428.7%(8,788)69.4%(21,235)R+40.7R+6.6
201031.2%(9,488)65.3%(19,837)R+34.1R+13.0
200620.5%(5,094)41.5%(10,324)R+21.0D+23.4
200226.8%(5,812)71.2%(15,457)R+44.4D+14.1
199820.4%(3,273)78.9%(12,663)R+58.5R+31.9
199436.1%(6,509)62.8%(11,304)R+26.6R+8.0
199037.9%(5,756)56.6%(8,586)R+18.6D+14.7
198632.4%(4,311)65.8%(8,751)R+33.4R+19.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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