Gaines County, TX

TX · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+82.6
2024 Margin
R+2.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
22K
Population

Gaines County, TX (Texas) voted R+82.6 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 5,840 votes (91.02%) to 538 (8.39%) for Harris.

This represents a R+2.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Gaines County is classified as a deep Republican county. Gaines County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 22,232.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+82.6
2020→2024 SwingR+2.9%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population22,232
Median Age
29.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
11.7%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$74,132(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
56.9%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
40.3%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.3%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
74.6%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
6.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
2.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
50.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
30.9%(Above Average)
Catholic
10.9%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.7%
LDS/Mormon
0.9%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
36.0%Significant Hub(3.2x)
German
21.5%Above Average(1.7x)
American Heritage
7.2%(1.3x)
English
3.0%
Irish
2.9%
Russian
2.3%Significant Hub(3.5x)

Age Distribution

Median:29.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
35.8%
18-29
11.2%
30-44
18.0%
45-64
25.4%
65+
9.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
22.6%(13.3x US)
ConstructionMajor Specialization
16.2%(2.4x US)
Educational Services
6.7%(0.8x US)
Manufacturing
6.0%(0.6x US)
Retail Trade
5.4%(0.5x US)
Professional & Technical
5.1%(0.4x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20248.4%(538)91.0%(5,840)R+82.6R+2.9
20209.6%(576)89.3%(5,355)R+79.7R+8.1
201612.9%(597)84.6%(3,907)R+71.6D+0.9
201213.2%(535)85.7%(3,484)R+72.5R+5.3
200816.0%(650)83.2%(3,385)R+67.2D+3.2
200414.6%(608)85.0%(3,540)R+70.4R+13.5
200020.9%(723)77.8%(2,691)R+56.9R+31.8
199631.7%(1,012)56.7%(1,812)R+25.0D+1.5
199227.8%(1,095)54.4%(2,138)R+26.5R+0.0
198836.3%(1,310)62.8%(2,265)R+26.5D+27.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Gaines County, TX19122024

D+R++100+80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80-100191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20248.8%(561)91.1%(5,803)R+82.3R+3.0
20209.5%(548)88.9%(5,118)R+79.3R+6.5
201813.3%(513)86.2%(3,317)R+72.8D+5.6
20149.2%(224)87.6%(2,137)R+78.4R+8.2
201213.9%(546)84.1%(3,312)R+70.2R+5.3
200816.7%(653)81.6%(3,184)R+64.9R+5.1
200619.0%(455)78.9%(1,884)R+59.8R+23.7
200231.2%(754)67.4%(1,628)R+36.2D+22.6
200019.7%(663)78.5%(2,637)R+58.8R+24.5
199631.9%(1,007)66.2%(2,089)R+34.3D+18.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20227.6%(311)91.4%(3,761)R+83.8R+10.0
201812.4%(475)86.2%(3,305)R+73.8D+5.8
20149.4%(235)89.0%(2,235)R+79.6R+24.5
201020.8%(507)75.9%(1,847)R+55.1R+25.6
200619.2%(475)48.7%(1,202)R+29.5D+11.2
200228.2%(698)68.9%(1,704)R+40.7D+21.7
199818.5%(487)80.9%(2,127)R+62.4R+11.9
199424.3%(670)74.8%(2,061)R+50.5R+18.1
199032.0%(905)64.4%(1,820)R+32.4D+1.9
198631.7%(818)66.0%(1,702)R+34.3R+36.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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