Clay County, Texas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 38 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 86.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 7.1% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 1.0% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 51.1% | 90.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.9% | 6.8% |
| Catholic | 1.7% | 3.1% |
| Non-religious | 43.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+79.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+77.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+76.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+69.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+58.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+50.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+35.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+7.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.8 |
Clay, Texas is a county that has a population of 10,495. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+79.6. Akashic Edge tracks 38 presidential elections here, dating back to 1876.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9.9% | 89.5% | R+79.6 | R+2.0 |
| 2020 | 10.7% | 88.3% | R+77.6 | R+1.1 |
| 2016 | 10.7% | 87.2% | R+76.5 | R+6.8 |
| 2012 | 14.6% | 84.4% | R+69.7 | R+11.1 |
| 2008 | 20.3% | 78.9% | R+58.6 | R+8.1 |
| 2004 | 24.6% | 75.1% | R+50.5 | R+14.9 |
| 2000 | 31.5% | 67.1% | R+35.6 | R+28.3 |
| 1996 | 40.6% | 48.0% | R+7.4 | R+14.2 |
| 1992 | 39.1% | 32.3% | D+6.8 | D+1.1 |
| 1988 | 52.7% | 47.1% | D+5.7 | D+22.0 |
| 1984 | 41.7% | 58.0% | R+16.4 | R+26.3 |
| 1980 | 54.3% | 44.4% | D+9.9 | R+26.2 |
| 1976 | 67.9% | 31.7% | D+36.2 | D+65.7 |
| 1972 | 34.7% | 64.3% | R+29.5 | R+49.6 |
| 1968 | 49.6% | 29.5% | D+20.1 | R+36.2 |
| 1964 | 78.0% | 21.8% | D+56.2 | D+31.5 |
| 1960 | 62.3% | 37.5% | D+24.8 | R+4.5 |
| 1956 | 64.6% | 35.3% | D+29.3 | D+6.0 |
| 1952 | 61.6% | 38.4% | D+23.3 | R+46.4 |
| 1948 | 82.5% | 12.9% | D+69.7 | — |
What defines Clay?
Clay is a deep Republican exurban geography that has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. Its 10K residents are working-class (22% hold a bachelor's degree).
County in State Context
Current Texas Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%
8 pollsHigh
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Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 79.6% margin
- Has flipped parties 7 times since 1876