Caldwell County, TX

TX · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+14.4
2024 Margin
R+5.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
49K
Population

Caldwell County, TX (Texas) voted R+14.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 8,880 votes (56.43%) to 6,618 (42.05%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Caldwell County is classified as a lean Republican county. Caldwell County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The county has a population of approximately 48,669.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+14.4
2020→2024 SwingR+5.3%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population48,669
Median Age
38.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
19.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$69,758(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
35.6%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
57.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
5.3%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
75.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.0%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
29.2%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
23.2%
Evangelical
12.6%
Mainline Protestant
4.4%
Black Protestant
1.3%
LDS/Mormon
0.9%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
50.3%Major Concentration(4.5x)
German
9.8%
Irish
6.4%
English
5.2%
American Heritage
4.7%
Italian
1.3%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:38.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.2%
18-29
9.9%
30-44
20.0%
45-64
31.6%
65+
15.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ConstructionMajor Specialization
14.7%(2.2x US)
Professional & Technical
11.6%
Retail Trade
11.3%
Educational Services
8.6%
Manufacturing
8.5%(0.9x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.7%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202442.0%(6,618)56.4%(8,880)R+14.4R+5.3
202044.6%(6,672)53.6%(8,031)R+9.1D+6.5
201639.4%(4,795)54.9%(6,691)R+15.6R+4.5
201243.3%(4,791)54.4%(6,021)R+11.1R+5.1
200846.4%(5,403)52.4%(6,107)R+6.0D+5.9
200443.6%(5,052)55.5%(6,436)R+11.9D+2.3
200041.1%(3,872)55.3%(5,216)R+14.3R+23.5
199650.6%(3,961)41.4%(3,239)D+9.2R+3.3
199245.5%(3,794)33.0%(2,749)D+12.5R+0.7
198856.3%(4,649)43.0%(3,553)D+13.3D+25.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Caldwell County, TX19122024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202444.1%(6,851)55.9%(8,689)R+11.8R+1.1
202043.4%(6,449)54.1%(8,044)R+10.7R+2.7
201845.5%(5,227)53.5%(6,147)R+8.0D+15.8
201435.0%(3,076)58.9%(5,171)R+23.9R+18.5
201245.6%(4,965)50.9%(5,552)R+5.4D+0.6
200845.5%(5,244)51.5%(5,932)R+6.0D+12.1
200639.4%(2,969)57.4%(4,328)R+18.0R+19.9
200249.8%(3,714)47.9%(3,575)D+1.9D+27.4
200035.5%(3,289)61.0%(5,656)R+25.5R+32.3
199652.6%(4,028)45.9%(3,511)D+6.8D+17.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202242.1%(4,790)55.9%(6,351)R+13.7D+5.6
201839.4%(4,509)58.7%(6,723)R+19.3R+2.9
201440.2%(3,578)56.6%(5,037)R+16.4R+14.9
201047.2%(3,913)48.6%(4,035)R+1.5R+1.2
200631.9%(2,478)32.2%(2,502)R+0.3D+9.0
200243.6%(3,294)52.9%(4,000)R+9.3D+19.2
199835.4%(1,997)63.9%(3,604)R+28.5R+29.2
199450.0%(3,114)49.3%(3,071)D+0.7R+30.1
199064.2%(3,659)33.5%(1,906)D+30.8D+29.5
198649.9%(3,296)48.6%(3,212)D+1.3R+28.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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