Bailey County, TX

TX · Presidential Elections 19242024

R+61.1
2024 Margin
R+5.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
7K
Population

Bailey County, TX (Texas) voted R+61.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 1,395 votes (80.13%) to 332 (19.07%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Bailey County is classified as a deep Republican county. Bailey County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 6,913.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+61.1
2020→2024 SwingR+5.9%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record26

Demographics

Population6,913
Median Age
33.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
15.2%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$61,420(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
31.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
66.0%(US: 19.1%)
Asian
1.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
79.9%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
12.0%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
3.6%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
43.6%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
31.7%(Above Average)
Catholic
22.4%
Mainline Protestant
4.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
60.9%Major Concentration(5.5x)
English
5.0%
German
2.8%
American Heritage
2.4%
Irish
2.1%

Age Distribution

Median:33.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
26.9%
18-29
11.8%
30-44
19.0%
45-64
22.7%
65+
19.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
17.7%(10.4x US)
Retail Trade
15.7%(1.5x US)
Manufacturing
14.9%(1.5x US)
Professional & Technical
3.8%(0.3x US)
Construction
3.8%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
2.9%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202419.1%(332)80.1%(1,395)R+61.1R+5.9
202022.0%(409)77.1%(1,434)R+55.1R+2.3
201622.1%(397)75.0%(1,344)R+52.8R+4.7
201225.7%(466)73.7%(1,339)R+48.1R+7.7
200829.4%(682)69.9%(1,618)R+40.4D+15.8
200421.8%(525)78.0%(1,882)R+56.3R+3.6
200023.4%(488)76.0%(1,589)R+52.7R+26.5
199634.2%(706)60.3%(1,246)R+26.1D+0.5
199228.6%(677)55.3%(1,308)R+26.7R+1.8
198837.4%(876)62.3%(1,459)R+24.9D+21.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Bailey County, TX19242024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-801924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202419.0%(325)81.0%(1,388)R+62.1R+6.2
202021.0%(383)76.8%(1,400)R+55.8R+6.4
201825.1%(405)74.5%(1,204)R+49.4D+25.3
201411.7%(115)86.4%(853)R+74.8R+23.8
201223.7%(421)74.6%(1,328)R+51.0R+8.4
200827.8%(627)70.4%(1,586)R+42.5D+17.6
200618.8%(281)78.9%(1,181)R+60.2R+21.2
200230.3%(472)69.3%(1,079)R+39.0D+22.1
200019.1%(386)80.1%(1,623)R+61.1R+28.3
199633.2%(671)65.9%(1,334)R+32.8D+13.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202216.0%(213)82.9%(1,105)R+66.9R+11.3
201821.7%(348)77.3%(1,241)R+55.6D+17.9
201412.9%(130)86.5%(868)R+73.5R+22.1
201021.8%(241)73.2%(810)R+51.4R+24.6
200618.6%(284)45.4%(692)R+26.8D+16.2
200227.9%(437)70.9%(1,111)R+43.0D+17.5
199819.6%(356)80.2%(1,454)R+60.5R+37.1
199438.1%(682)61.6%(1,101)R+23.4R+6.3
199039.8%(696)56.9%(996)R+17.1D+7.4
198637.1%(660)61.7%(1,097)R+24.6R+24.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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