Warren County, TN

TN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+56.0
2024 Margin
R+6.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2004
Voting Streak
42K
Population

Warren County, TN (Tennessee) voted R+56.0 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 13,192 votes (77.37%) to 3,647 (21.39%) for Harris.

This represents a R+6.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Warren County is classified as a deep Republican county. Warren County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2004. The county has a population of approximately 42,166.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+56.0
2020→2024 SwingR+6.5%
Voting StreakR since 2004
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population42,166
Median Age
39.8(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
14.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$55,487(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
83.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
10.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
2.7%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
72.4%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
15.7%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.4%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
42.6%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
4.4%
Catholic
1.8%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.8%
Black Protestant
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
18.0%Significant Hub(3.3x)
English
15.3%Above Average(1.7x)
Irish
8.5%
Mexican
8.2%
German
5.9%
Scotch-Irish
1.4%Above Average(1.9x)
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.8 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.3%
18-29
7.7%
30-44
19.3%
45-64
31.9%
65+
17.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingMajor Specialization
19.4%(2.0x US)
Retail Trade
12.4%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
8.6%
Construction
7.0%
Professional & Technical
5.2%(0.4x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
3.9%(0.8x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202421.4%(3,647)77.4%(13,192)R+56.0R+6.5
202024.5%(3,924)74.0%(11,850)R+49.5R+5.4
201626.0%(3,535)70.1%(9,540)R+44.1R+19.1
201236.5%(4,752)61.5%(8,010)R+25.0R+3.9
200838.3%(5,515)59.5%(8,562)R+21.2R+16.3
200447.3%(6,808)52.1%(7,503)R+4.8R+18.7
200056.2%(7,378)42.3%(5,552)D+13.9R+4.7
199654.9%(6,389)36.3%(4,226)D+18.6R+9.6
199258.2%(7,189)30.0%(3,704)D+28.2D+26.9
198850.4%(4,646)49.1%(4,529)D+1.3D+1.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Warren County, TN18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202422.3%(3,648)75.2%(12,287)R+52.9R+2.1
202022.8%(3,410)73.7%(10,998)R+50.8R+26.2
201836.8%(4,200)61.5%(7,018)R+24.7D+7.2
201431.1%(2,352)63.0%(4,761)R+31.9D+8.3
201227.5%(3,210)67.6%(7,905)R+40.2R+7.6
200831.5%(4,045)64.0%(8,225)R+32.5R+44.0
200654.7%(6,255)43.2%(4,940)D+11.5D+1.4
200254.1%(6,414)44.1%(5,219)D+10.1D+28.1
200039.7%(4,882)57.8%(7,096)R+18.0R+13.7
199647.0%(4,872)51.3%(5,319)R+4.3D+0.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201831.8%(3,643)67.4%(7,737)R+35.7D+12.5
201421.8%(1,648)70.1%(5,285)R+48.2R+26.4
201037.8%(3,640)59.6%(5,745)R+21.8R+70.0
200673.2%(8,324)25.0%(2,848)D+48.1D+28.3
200259.3%(7,137)39.4%(4,743)D+19.9D+52.9
199832.4%(2,037)65.4%(4,110)R+33.0R+43.2
199454.6%(4,890)44.4%(3,976)D+10.2R+33.1
199070.3%(4,936)27.0%(1,897)D+43.3D+8.8
198667.2%(5,359)32.8%(2,611)D+34.5D+22.8
198255.9%(4,806)44.1%(3,797)D+11.7D+3.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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