Van Buren County, Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 94.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 2.2% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.3% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 23.2% | 98.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.3% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 76.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+67.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+61.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+53.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+22.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+20.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+3.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+19.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+30.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+37.2 |
Van Buren, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 6,437. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+67.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.0% | 83.2% | R+67.2 | R+5.7 |
| 2020 | 18.6% | 80.2% | R+61.5 | R+8.6 |
| 2016 | 22.3% | 75.2% | R+53.0 | R+30.7 |
| 2012 | 38.0% | 60.3% | R+22.2 | R+2.0 |
| 2008 | 38.5% | 58.7% | R+20.2 | R+24.0 |
| 2004 | 51.5% | 47.7% | D+3.8 | R+15.4 |
| 2000 | 58.9% | 39.7% | D+19.2 | R+11.2 |
| 1996 | 60.7% | 30.3% | D+30.4 | R+6.8 |
| 1992 | 63.9% | 26.7% | D+37.2 | D+36.2 |
| 1988 | 50.4% | 49.4% | D+1.0 | R+5.0 |
| 1984 | 52.8% | 46.8% | D+6.0 | R+21.6 |
| 1980 | 63.1% | 35.5% | D+27.6 | R+23.7 |
| 1976 | 75.2% | 24.0% | D+51.3 | D+77.2 |
| 1972 | 35.7% | 61.6% | R+25.9 | R+21.9 |
| 1968 | 25.3% | 29.3% | R+4.0 | R+53.4 |
| 1964 | 74.7% | 25.3% | D+49.4 | D+31.7 |
| 1960 | 58.0% | 40.3% | D+17.7 | R+4.6 |
| 1956 | 60.7% | 38.4% | D+22.3 | R+3.5 |
| 1952 | 61.9% | 36.1% | D+25.8 | R+8.7 |
| 1948 | 65.0% | 30.5% | D+34.6 | — |
What defines Van Buren?
Van Buren is a deep Republican rural geography that has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. It shifted 5.7pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. Its 6K residents are working-class (14% hold a bachelor's degree).
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 67.2% margin
- Has flipped parties 4 times since 1868