Sumner County, TN

TN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+41.7
2024 Margin
R+3.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
204K
Population

Sumner County, TN (Tennessee) voted R+41.7 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 68,767 votes (70.05%) to 27,874 (28.4%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Sumner County is classified as a deep Republican county. Sumner County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The county has a population of approximately 204,424.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+41.7
2020→2024 SwingR+3.0%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population204,424
Median Age
39.8(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
33.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$90,301(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
79.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
7.2%(US: 19.1%)
Black
8.0%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.6%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
72.0%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
8.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.1%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
42.4%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
4.2%
Catholic
4.2%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.1%
LDS/Mormon
1.0%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
16.9%Significant Hub(3.1x)
English
14.3%Above Average(1.6x)
German
9.4%
Irish
8.6%
Mexican
3.8%
Italian
2.2%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.8 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.1%
18-29
7.6%
30-44
19.6%
45-64
33.0%
65+
16.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
12.7%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
11.7%
Manufacturing
9.7%
Educational Services
8.4%
Construction
7.8%(1.1x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.1%(1.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202428.4%(27,874)70.0%(68,767)R+41.7R+3.0
202029.9%(27,680)68.5%(63,454)R+38.6D+6.1
201625.4%(18,161)70.1%(50,129)R+44.7R+2.8
201228.4%(18,579)70.3%(46,003)R+41.9R+7.0
200832.0%(21,487)66.9%(44,949)R+34.9R+4.7
200434.6%(21,458)64.8%(40,181)R+30.2R+19.4
200043.8%(22,118)54.7%(27,601)R+10.9R+7.0
199644.5%(19,205)48.4%(20,863)R+3.8R+8.6
199246.0%(19,387)41.3%(17,401)D+4.7D+29.6
198837.3%(11,702)62.2%(19,523)R+24.9R+2.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Sumner County, TN18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202428.4%(27,119)69.5%(66,413)R+41.1D+2.8
202026.8%(23,878)70.7%(63,031)R+43.9R+17.5
201836.2%(23,762)62.7%(41,099)R+26.4D+17.4
201424.9%(9,292)68.7%(25,615)R+43.8D+10.9
201220.5%(12,616)75.2%(46,321)R+54.7R+7.1
200824.2%(15,134)71.8%(44,945)R+47.6R+30.4
200640.7%(18,976)57.9%(26,996)R+17.2R+2.9
200242.3%(17,650)56.6%(23,638)R+14.3D+25.3
200029.1%(13,943)68.8%(32,919)R+39.7R+8.6
199633.8%(13,405)64.9%(25,714)R+31.1D+16.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201831.9%(20,914)67.3%(44,149)R+35.4D+24.6
201416.7%(6,121)76.7%(28,090)R+60.0R+12.1
201025.3%(11,251)73.2%(32,543)R+47.9R+77.7
200664.4%(29,713)34.5%(15,938)D+29.9D+32.7
200247.8%(19,860)50.7%(21,032)R+2.8D+43.7
199825.8%(5,901)72.3%(16,527)R+46.5R+50.7
199451.7%(16,981)47.5%(15,593)D+4.2R+29.5
199065.8%(9,222)32.0%(4,490)D+33.7D+27.3
198653.2%(12,546)46.8%(11,036)D+6.4D+22.8
198241.8%(8,663)58.2%(12,064)R+16.4R+1.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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