Smith County, TN

TN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+64.7
2024 Margin
R+5.8%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2008
Voting Streak
20K
Population

Smith County, TN (Tennessee) voted R+64.7 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 7,655 votes (81.73%) to 1,595 (17.03%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Smith County is classified as a deep Republican county. Smith County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The county has a population of approximately 20,389.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+64.7
2020→2024 SwingR+5.8%
Voting StreakR since 2008
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population20,389
Median Age
40.6(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
18.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$66,293(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
90.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.8%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
76.9%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
10.0%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
25.8%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
5.5%
Black Protestant
4.3%(Above Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
22.2%Major Concentration(4.1x)
English
14.6%Above Average(1.7x)
Irish
8.0%
German
6.7%
Italian
2.6%
Mexican
2.3%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:40.6 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.4%
18-29
7.2%
30-44
19.2%
45-64
34.5%
65+
16.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
14.7%(1.5x US)
Retail Trade
13.5%(1.3x US)
Construction
10.1%(1.5x US)
Professional & Technical
7.7%(0.6x US)
Educational Services
4.8%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
3.7%(0.8x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202417.0%(1,595)81.7%(7,655)R+64.7R+5.8
202019.9%(1,802)78.8%(7,136)R+58.9R+7.8
201622.7%(1,689)73.9%(5,494)R+51.2R+22.6
201234.8%(2,470)63.4%(4,495)R+28.6R+8.3
200838.6%(2,992)59.0%(4,563)R+20.3R+24.2
200451.7%(4,044)47.8%(3,739)D+3.9R+30.1
200066.5%(4,884)32.4%(2,384)D+34.0D+1.7
199662.9%(3,812)30.7%(1,857)D+32.3R+18.5
199271.8%(5,061)21.0%(1,482)D+50.8D+42.6
198853.8%(2,522)45.6%(2,138)D+8.2R+7.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Smith County, TN18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202417.5%(1,576)80.5%(7,255)R+63.0R+2.1
202017.8%(1,493)78.8%(6,610)R+61.0R+27.1
201832.4%(2,111)66.3%(4,317)R+33.9R+7.4
201433.4%(1,427)59.9%(2,559)R+26.5D+15.5
201226.9%(1,717)68.9%(4,403)R+42.0R+8.6
200830.7%(2,136)64.2%(4,458)R+33.4R+49.4
200657.3%(3,622)41.3%(2,610)D+16.0R+8.6
200261.7%(3,555)37.1%(2,137)D+24.6D+23.0
200050.2%(3,027)48.5%(2,927)D+1.7R+8.1
199654.5%(2,812)44.7%(2,307)D+9.8R+6.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201826.8%(1,756)72.4%(4,745)R+45.6R+5.1
201425.4%(1,048)65.9%(2,720)R+40.5R+21.8
201039.7%(2,290)58.4%(3,369)R+18.7R+69.0
200674.5%(4,719)24.2%(1,531)D+50.3D+22.4
200263.0%(3,741)35.1%(2,086)D+27.9D+48.4
199838.8%(1,332)59.3%(2,036)R+20.5R+41.6
199460.1%(2,913)39.0%(1,889)D+21.1R+28.6
199074.1%(1,712)24.3%(562)D+49.8D+4.8
198672.5%(3,194)27.5%(1,213)D+45.0D+4.5
198270.2%(3,510)29.8%(1,488)D+40.5D+32.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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