Shelby County, TN

TN · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+25.2
2024 Margin
R+5.2%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1992
Voting Streak
919K
Population

Shelby County, TN (Tennessee) voted D+25.2 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 201,759 votes (61.48%) to 118,917 (36.24%) for Trump.

This represents a R+5.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Shelby County is classified as a solid Democratic county. Shelby County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The county has a population of approximately 919,173.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+25.2
2020→2024 SwingR+5.2%
Voting StreakD since 1992
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population919,173
Median Age
35.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
34.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$63,767(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
33.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
8.8%(US: 19.1%)
Black
51.3%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
2.9%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
54.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
17.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
31.0%(Above Average)
Black Protestant
19.8%(Primary Hub)
Mainline Protestant
6.5%
Catholic
6.0%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.8%
+ 1 more traditions

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
7.2%
Irish
5.2%
American Heritage
4.9%
German
4.6%
Mexican
4.6%
Italian
1.8%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:35.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
25.4%
18-29
8.7%
30-44
21.1%
45-64
29.9%
65+
14.8%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
10.8%
Retail Trade
10.4%
Manufacturing
9.0%
Educational Services
8.5%
Construction
5.2%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.0%
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202461.5%(201,759)36.2%(118,917)D+25.2R+5.2
202064.4%(246,105)34.0%(129,815)D+30.4D+3.0
201662.0%(208,992)34.5%(116,344)D+27.5D+1.4
201262.5%(232,443)36.5%(135,649)D+26.0R+1.4
200863.4%(256,297)36.0%(145,458)D+27.4D+11.8
200457.5%(216,945)41.9%(158,137)D+15.6D+1.1
200056.5%(190,404)42.1%(141,756)D+14.4D+1.2
199655.0%(179,663)41.8%(136,315)D+13.3D+2.9
199252.3%(191,322)41.9%(153,310)D+10.4D+12.9
198848.5%(149,759)51.0%(157,457)R+2.5R+1.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Shelby County, TN18922024

D+R++100+80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80-10018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202459.5%(189,954)37.8%(120,568)D+21.7R+3.2
202061.0%(228,280)36.1%(135,043)D+24.9R+7.5
201865.6%(190,885)33.1%(96,493)D+32.4D+33.2
201447.8%(88,921)48.6%(90,415)R+0.8R+9.0
201252.1%(181,253)43.9%(152,612)D+8.2D+12.5
200846.6%(173,924)50.9%(189,851)R+4.3R+31.1
200663.2%(179,677)36.3%(103,377)D+26.8D+26.9
200249.3%(117,629)49.5%(117,929)R+0.1D+14.3
200041.1%(126,721)55.6%(171,249)R+14.4R+1.9
199642.6%(129,878)55.1%(168,213)R+12.6D+1.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201860.5%(175,478)36.7%(106,594)D+23.7D+44.2
201437.3%(69,193)57.8%(107,089)R+20.5R+25.6
201051.9%(118,977)46.7%(107,227)D+5.1R+47.0
200675.3%(210,470)23.1%(64,593)D+52.2D+38.3
200256.1%(133,084)42.2%(100,261)D+13.8D+37.3
199837.5%(59,295)60.9%(96,414)R+23.5R+17.9
199446.8%(125,725)52.3%(140,607)R+5.5R+25.9
199058.9%(92,455)38.5%(60,427)D+20.4D+15.3
198652.5%(102,762)47.4%(92,776)D+5.1D+17.6
198243.7%(96,639)56.3%(124,307)R+12.5R+6.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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