Rutherford County, TN

TN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+21.7
2024 Margin
R+6.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
361K
Population

Rutherford County, TN (Tennessee) voted R+21.7 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 88,811 votes (59.93%) to 56,656 (38.23%) for Harris.

This represents a R+6.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Rutherford County is classified as a solid Republican county. Rutherford County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The county has a population of approximately 360,646.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+21.7
2020→2024 SwingR+6.3%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population360,646
Median Age
34.2(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
35.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$85,470(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
64.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
12.2%(US: 19.1%)
Black
15.8%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
3.6%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
64.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
9.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
8.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
25.9%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
4.1%
Catholic
2.6%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.8%
LDS/Mormon
1.0%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
13.3%(1.5x)
German
8.9%
American Heritage
8.4%(1.6x)
Irish
8.2%
Mexican
5.5%
Italian
2.5%
+ 6 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:34.2 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.7%
18-29
11.6%
30-44
22.4%
45-64
30.1%
65+
11.2%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
12.1%(1.2x US)
Retail Trade
11.7%
Professional & Technical
11.4%
Educational Services
9.4%
Construction
7.0%
Healthcare & Social Services
4.4%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202438.2%(56,656)59.9%(88,811)R+21.7R+6.3
202041.2%(59,341)56.6%(81,480)R+15.4D+10.5
201634.2%(36,706)60.0%(64,515)R+25.9R+1.2
201236.8%(36,414)61.6%(60,846)R+24.7R+5.6
200839.8%(40,460)58.9%(59,892)R+19.1D+5.2
200437.5%(31,647)61.8%(52,200)R+24.3R+14.6
200044.0%(27,360)53.8%(33,445)R+9.8R+6.4
199644.2%(22,815)47.6%(24,565)R+3.4R+8.1
199244.7%(21,084)40.0%(18,877)D+4.7D+29.5
198837.3%(12,245)62.2%(20,397)R+24.9D+0.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Rutherford County, TN18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202438.3%(55,605)59.3%(86,026)R+21.0R+1.6
202038.8%(53,782)58.1%(80,610)R+19.3R+12.7
201846.1%(45,692)52.7%(52,254)R+6.6D+24.5
201431.0%(16,761)62.1%(33,612)R+31.1D+5.1
201229.3%(27,731)65.5%(61,962)R+36.2R+1.0
200830.3%(28,906)65.4%(62,464)R+35.2R+23.8
200643.5%(26,829)54.9%(33,809)R+11.3D+3.1
200242.2%(21,613)56.7%(29,018)R+14.5D+24.1
200029.0%(16,947)67.6%(39,497)R+38.6R+4.1
199631.8%(15,787)66.2%(32,909)R+34.5D+16.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201841.5%(41,108)57.5%(56,957)R+16.0D+32.3
201421.8%(11,323)70.1%(36,467)R+48.4R+8.9
201029.3%(17,912)68.8%(41,999)R+39.4R+71.2
200665.2%(40,034)33.5%(20,535)D+31.8D+33.9
200248.2%(24,683)50.3%(25,750)R+2.1D+39.3
199828.5%(8,088)69.8%(19,832)R+41.4R+39.7
199448.7%(18,415)50.4%(19,055)R+1.7R+31.4
199063.3%(9,121)33.6%(4,840)D+29.7D+23.4
198653.1%(11,711)46.9%(10,327)D+6.3D+22.6
198241.9%(9,244)58.1%(12,843)R+16.3R+0.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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