Marshall County, TN

TN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+56.5
2024 Margin
R+6.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2004
Voting Streak
36K
Population

Marshall County, TN (Tennessee) voted R+56.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 12,426 votes (77.66%) to 3,390 (21.19%) for Harris.

This represents a R+6.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Marshall County is classified as a deep Republican county. Marshall County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2004. The county has a population of approximately 36,049.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+56.5
2020→2024 SwingR+6.5%
Voting StreakR since 2004
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population36,049
Median Age
39.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
23.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$71,049(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
83.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
7.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
6.0%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
76.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
11.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.7%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
36.7%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
5.5%
Black Protestant
2.2%
Catholic
2.2%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.0%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
23.4%Major Concentration(4.4x)
English
13.2%(1.5x)
Irish
8.3%
German
7.3%
Mexican
6.0%
Scotch-Irish
2.2%Significant Hub(2.8x)
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.4%
18-29
8.3%
30-44
19.1%
45-64
32.3%
65+
16.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
15.7%(1.6x US)
Retail Trade
11.1%
Professional & Technical
9.6%(0.8x US)
Construction
8.6%(1.3x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
6.0%(1.3x US)
Educational Services
5.4%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202421.2%(3,390)77.7%(12,426)R+56.5R+6.5
202024.2%(3,605)74.2%(11,043)R+50.0R+3.4
201624.9%(2,852)71.4%(8,184)R+46.5R+17.6
201234.7%(3,725)63.6%(6,832)R+28.9R+7.4
200838.3%(4,320)59.8%(6,755)R+21.6R+11.2
200444.5%(4,722)54.9%(5,825)R+10.4R+21.1
200054.6%(5,107)43.9%(4,105)D+10.7R+10.3
199656.2%(4,447)35.1%(2,781)D+21.1R+3.3
199255.5%(4,491)31.1%(2,516)D+24.4D+27.5
198848.3%(2,795)51.4%(2,975)R+3.1D+4.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Marshall County, TN18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202421.7%(3,391)76.4%(11,916)R+54.7R+1.8
202022.3%(3,154)75.2%(10,650)R+52.9R+21.4
201833.7%(3,380)65.2%(6,543)R+31.5R+1.9
201432.1%(1,898)61.7%(3,650)R+29.6D+8.6
201228.4%(2,856)66.7%(6,696)R+38.2R+4.3
200830.7%(3,172)64.6%(6,675)R+33.9R+39.0
200651.6%(3,762)46.5%(3,391)D+5.1R+3.2
200253.2%(3,971)44.9%(3,355)D+8.2D+30.4
200037.7%(3,302)59.9%(5,246)R+22.2R+14.4
199645.3%(3,111)53.1%(3,645)R+7.8R+3.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201828.8%(2,891)70.5%(7,074)R+41.7D+9.7
201420.6%(1,224)72.1%(4,279)R+51.4R+22.5
201034.6%(2,620)63.5%(4,810)R+28.9R+75.2
200672.4%(6,050)26.1%(2,178)D+46.3D+29.6
200257.5%(4,323)40.7%(3,065)D+16.7D+46.0
199834.3%(1,340)63.6%(2,484)R+29.3R+34.9
199452.5%(3,220)46.9%(2,876)D+5.6R+27.7
199065.4%(1,521)32.1%(746)D+33.3R+1.9
198667.6%(3,637)32.4%(1,743)D+35.2D+27.8
198253.7%(3,121)46.3%(2,689)D+7.4D+5.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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