Marion County, Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 90.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 2.5% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 3.0% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.2% | 78.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.0% | 14.6% |
| Other | 2.0% | 4.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 3.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.5% |
| Catholic | 0.4% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 58.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+55.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+50.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+44.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+22.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+19.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+2.7 |
| 2000 | Gore+7.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+22.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+23.1 |
Marion, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 29,250. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+55.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.7% | 77.4% | R+55.7 | R+4.9 |
| 2020 | 24.0% | 74.8% | R+50.8 | R+6.0 |
| 2016 | 26.1% | 70.9% | R+44.8 | R+22.5 |
| 2012 | 38.0% | 60.3% | R+22.3 | R+2.7 |
| 2008 | 39.4% | 59.0% | R+19.6 | R+16.9 |
| 2004 | 48.3% | 51.0% | R+2.7 | R+10.4 |
| 2000 | 53.1% | 45.4% | D+7.7 | R+14.4 |
| 1996 | 56.5% | 34.4% | D+22.1 | R+1.0 |
| 1992 | 55.5% | 32.4% | D+23.1 | D+25.8 |
| 1988 | 48.4% | 51.1% | R+2.7 | D+2.1 |
| 1984 | 47.3% | 52.1% | R+4.7 | R+13.1 |
| 1980 | 53.4% | 45.1% | D+8.3 | R+13.3 |
| 1976 | 60.4% | 38.8% | D+21.6 | D+52.1 |
| 1972 | 33.0% | 63.6% | R+30.5 | R+25.9 |
| 1968 | 25.9% | 30.6% | R+4.7 | R+20.8 |
| 1964 | 58.1% | 41.9% | D+16.1 | D+8.1 |
| 1960 | 53.3% | 45.3% | D+8.0 | D+10.4 |
| 1956 | 48.0% | 50.4% | R+2.5 | R+16.2 |
| 1952 | 56.6% | 42.9% | D+13.7 | R+4.6 |
| 1948 | 57.2% | 38.9% | D+18.3 | — |
What defines Marion?
Marion has been trending Republican — 33pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 55.7% margin
- Shifted 33.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections