Madison County, TN

TN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+18.2
2024 Margin
R+5.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
99K
Population

Madison County, TN (Tennessee) voted R+18.2 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 23,385 votes (58.52%) to 16,115 (40.32%) for Harris.

This represents a R+5.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Madison County is classified as a solid Republican county. Madison County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 99,295.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+18.2
2020→2024 SwingR+5.3%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population99,295
Median Age
38.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
26.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$60,042(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
53.5%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.2%(US: 19.1%)
Black
36.4%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
62.0%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
18.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
54.0%(Unique Concentration)
Black Protestant
7.5%(Unique Concentration)
Mainline Protestant
5.4%
Catholic
2.3%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
12.4%(1.4x)
American Heritage
8.3%(1.5x)
Irish
7.2%
German
6.0%
Mexican
2.9%
Scotch-Irish
1.8%Above Average(2.3x)
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:38.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.4%
18-29
10.2%
30-44
19.1%
45-64
30.4%
65+
17.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
17.3%(1.8x US)
Retail Trade
11.4%
Professional & Technical
8.8%(0.7x US)
Educational Services
8.0%
Construction
4.8%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.6%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202440.3%(16,115)58.5%(23,385)R+18.2R+5.3
202042.8%(18,390)55.8%(23,943)R+12.9D+2.5
201640.5%(15,448)56.0%(21,335)R+15.4R+6.5
201245.1%(18,367)54.0%(21,993)R+8.9R+1.9
200846.1%(20,209)53.1%(23,290)R+7.0D+5.5
200443.5%(16,840)56.0%(21,679)R+12.5R+6.4
200046.5%(15,781)52.6%(17,862)R+6.1R+1.6
199645.9%(13,577)50.4%(14,908)R+4.5R+0.5
199243.7%(13,629)47.7%(14,869)R+4.0D+17.2
198839.2%(11,001)60.5%(16,952)R+21.2R+1.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Madison County, TN18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202437.8%(14,807)60.2%(23,578)R+22.4R+4.9
202040.2%(16,781)57.7%(24,065)R+17.5R+12.0
201846.5%(15,316)52.0%(17,127)R+5.5D+18.7
201434.6%(7,871)58.8%(13,377)R+24.2R+2.8
201237.7%(14,439)59.1%(22,629)R+21.4R+0.2
200838.0%(15,333)59.1%(23,890)R+21.2R+18.5
200648.2%(14,549)50.9%(15,367)R+2.7D+10.8
200242.6%(11,879)56.1%(15,640)R+13.5D+22.7
200031.1%(10,273)67.3%(22,254)R+36.2R+15.7
199639.2%(11,512)59.7%(17,538)R+20.5D+26.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201841.9%(13,759)57.0%(18,722)R+15.1D+20.1
201429.5%(6,640)64.6%(14,563)R+35.2R+22.6
201043.2%(12,214)55.7%(15,762)R+12.5R+59.6
200672.9%(21,889)25.9%(7,771)D+47.0D+47.6
200248.9%(13,614)49.5%(13,770)R+0.6D+46.5
199825.7%(4,265)72.7%(12,092)R+47.1R+32.7
199442.4%(10,194)56.8%(13,649)R+14.4R+45.0
199064.2%(11,895)33.5%(6,217)D+30.6D+29.0
198650.8%(12,444)49.2%(12,041)D+1.6D+17.7
198242.0%(8,334)58.0%(11,528)R+16.1D+2.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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