Lincoln County, TN

TN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+64.6
2024 Margin
R+4.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
36K
Population

Lincoln County, TN (Tennessee) voted R+64.6 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 13,208 votes (81.89%) to 2,782 (17.25%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Lincoln County is classified as a deep Republican county. Lincoln County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The county has a population of approximately 35,946.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+64.6
2020→2024 SwingR+4.7%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population35,946
Median Age
42.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
20.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$64,667(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
85.2%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
4.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
6.2%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
75.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
12.9%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
1.2%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
47.4%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
4.0%
Black Protestant
3.6%(Above Average)
Catholic
1.9%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.6%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
16.3%Significant Hub(3.0x)
English
15.3%Above Average(1.7x)
Irish
8.7%
German
6.3%
Mexican
2.0%
Scotch-Irish
1.7%Above Average(2.2x)
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:42.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.3%
18-29
7.7%
30-44
16.3%
45-64
33.6%
65+
20.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingMajor Specialization
22.9%(2.3x US)
Retail Trade
9.6%(0.9x US)
Construction
8.5%(1.3x US)
Professional & Technical
7.7%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.1%(1.1x US)
Educational Services
4.9%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202417.3%(2,782)81.9%(13,208)R+64.6R+4.7
202018.7%(2,919)78.7%(12,281)R+60.0R+1.2
201619.1%(2,554)77.9%(10,398)R+58.8R+9.7
201224.8%(3,290)73.9%(9,803)R+49.1R+6.9
200828.1%(3,695)70.3%(9,231)R+42.2R+15.8
200436.5%(4,546)62.9%(7,829)R+26.4R+22.8
200047.5%(5,060)51.0%(5,435)R+3.5R+1.6
199644.7%(4,361)46.7%(4,551)R+1.9R+14.1
199249.1%(5,063)37.0%(3,814)D+12.1D+19.8
198845.8%(3,672)53.5%(4,288)R+7.7R+9.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Lincoln County, TN18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202416.4%(2,562)81.6%(12,744)R+65.2R+3.2
202017.5%(2,644)79.5%(12,019)R+62.0R+9.8
201823.1%(2,437)75.4%(7,949)R+52.3D+0.8
201419.8%(1,239)72.9%(4,569)R+53.1R+2.3
201222.5%(2,816)73.3%(9,155)R+50.8R+6.7
200825.8%(3,197)69.9%(8,653)R+44.1R+31.0
200642.8%(3,470)55.9%(4,535)R+13.1R+6.7
200245.8%(3,967)52.2%(4,523)R+6.4D+15.2
200038.1%(3,670)59.7%(5,756)R+21.6D+0.8
199637.3%(3,392)59.7%(5,430)R+22.4R+5.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201820.1%(2,105)77.3%(8,110)R+57.3D+1.2
201417.3%(1,077)75.7%(4,720)R+58.4R+10.3
201024.2%(2,070)72.3%(6,196)R+48.1R+70.7
200660.3%(4,890)37.7%(3,059)D+22.6D+34.7
200243.1%(3,808)55.2%(4,877)R+12.1D+20.6
199832.8%(1,748)65.5%(3,487)R+32.7R+21.9
199444.0%(3,043)54.7%(3,788)R+10.8R+62.9
199075.2%(2,732)23.1%(839)D+52.1D+14.2
198668.9%(3,500)31.1%(1,577)D+37.9D+12.7
198262.6%(3,773)37.4%(2,256)D+25.2D+2.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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