Jefferson County, TN

TN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+64.0
2024 Margin
R+4.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1892
Voting Streak
57K
Population

Jefferson County, TN (Tennessee) voted R+64.0 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 21,068 votes (81.39%) to 4,503 (17.4%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Jefferson County is classified as a deep Republican county. Jefferson County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1892. The county has a population of approximately 56,864.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+64.0
2020→2024 SwingR+4.7%
Voting StreakR since 1892
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population56,864
Median Age
44.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
20.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$66,114(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
90.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
4.7%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.5%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
75.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
11.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
46.5%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
7.6%
Catholic
1.3%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
17.1%Above Average(1.9x)
Irish
11.5%(1.2x)
German
11.1%
American Heritage
10.7%Above Average(2.0x)
Mexican
3.1%
Scotch-Irish
2.5%Significant Hub(3.2x)
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:44.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.2%
18-29
8.3%
30-44
17.9%
45-64
33.9%
65+
20.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail TradeRegional Strength
16.3%(1.5x US)
Manufacturing
13.3%(1.4x US)
Educational Services
10.8%(1.3x US)
Construction
8.0%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
6.4%(0.5x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
3.6%(0.8x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202417.4%(4,503)81.4%(21,068)R+64.0R+4.7
202019.7%(4,654)79.0%(18,651)R+59.3R+0.1
201618.3%(3,494)77.5%(14,776)R+59.2R+9.0
201224.1%(4,232)74.3%(13,038)R+50.2R+7.4
200827.9%(5,178)70.7%(13,092)R+42.7R+6.9
200431.8%(5,469)67.5%(11,625)R+35.8R+11.4
200037.1%(5,226)61.5%(8,657)R+24.4R+9.9
199638.6%(4,688)53.0%(6,446)R+14.5R+2.8
199238.3%(4,740)50.0%(6,184)R+11.7D+24.7
198831.5%(3,168)67.8%(6,832)R+36.4D+4.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Jefferson County, TN18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202418.4%(4,666)79.9%(20,239)R+61.5D+0.5
202017.9%(4,035)79.8%(18,024)R+61.9R+17.9
201827.0%(4,347)71.0%(11,435)R+44.0D+3.5
201423.3%(2,448)70.8%(7,429)R+47.5D+11.9
201218.1%(2,991)77.5%(12,811)R+59.4R+1.7
200819.3%(3,395)77.0%(13,542)R+57.7R+32.9
200636.8%(4,906)61.6%(8,219)R+24.8D+0.6
200236.3%(4,269)61.7%(7,266)R+25.5D+25.5
200023.2%(3,068)74.2%(9,788)R+50.9R+10.3
199629.1%(3,259)69.7%(7,817)R+40.6D+31.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201822.2%(3,581)76.9%(12,411)R+54.7D+12.9
201413.1%(1,370)80.7%(8,423)R+67.6R+6.3
201018.2%(2,040)79.5%(8,895)R+61.3R+87.8
200662.5%(8,307)36.0%(4,782)D+26.5D+36.3
200244.4%(5,293)54.1%(6,453)R+9.7D+47.4
199820.6%(1,149)77.7%(4,340)R+57.1R+18.3
199429.9%(2,809)68.7%(6,458)R+38.8R+41.0
199049.7%(2,009)47.5%(1,923)D+2.1D+11.1
198645.5%(3,513)54.5%(4,205)R+9.0D+43.6
198223.7%(2,024)76.3%(6,511)R+52.6R+20.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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