Hardeman County, Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 8.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 2.2% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 38.4% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 44.3% | 75.4% |
| Black Protestant | 10.9% | 18.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.5% | 4.2% |
| Other | 0.6% | 1.0% |
| Catholic | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 41.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+24.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+15.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+7.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+5.9 |
| 2008 | Obama+6.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+9.4 |
| 2000 | Gore+13.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+23.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+19.8 |
Hardeman, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 25,433. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+24.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37.5% | 61.6% | R+24.1 | R+8.4 |
| 2020 | 41.5% | 57.2% | R+15.7 | R+7.8 |
| 2016 | 45.1% | 53.0% | R+7.9 | R+13.8 |
| 2012 | 52.5% | 46.6% | D+5.9 | R+0.3 |
| 2008 | 52.7% | 46.5% | D+6.2 | R+3.2 |
| 2004 | 54.3% | 44.9% | D+9.4 | R+4.5 |
| 2000 | 56.3% | 42.4% | D+13.9 | R+9.2 |
| 1996 | 59.0% | 36.0% | D+23.1 | D+3.2 |
| 1992 | 56.0% | 36.2% | D+19.8 | D+20.1 |
| 1988 | 49.4% | 49.7% | R+0.3 | R+1.4 |
| 1984 | 49.8% | 48.7% | D+1.1 | R+15.9 |
| 1980 | 57.6% | 40.7% | D+17.0 | R+9.8 |
| 1976 | 62.7% | 35.9% | D+26.8 | D+63.5 |
| 1972 | 29.3% | 66.0% | R+36.7 | R+46.0 |
| 1968 | 29.4% | 20.2% | D+9.3 | D+4.9 |
| 1964 | 52.2% | 47.8% | D+4.4 | D+1.3 |
| 1960 | 47.5% | 44.4% | D+3.0 | R+24.9 |
| 1956 | 52.3% | 24.4% | D+27.9 | R+9.1 |
| 1952 | 68.2% | 31.2% | D+37.0 | R+2.1 |
| 1948 | 48.8% | 9.6% | D+39.1 | — |
What defines Hardeman?
Hardeman is a deep Republican exurban geography with a R+24.1 margin in 2024. It shifted 8.4pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. Its 25K residents are working-class (12% hold a bachelor's degree).
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 24.1% margin
- Has flipped parties 5 times since 1868
- Shifted 30.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections