Hamilton County, TN

TN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+13.0
2024 Margin
R+3.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1952
Voting Streak
376K
Population

Hamilton County, TN (Tennessee) voted R+13.0 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 97,195 votes (55.72%) to 74,437 (42.67%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Hamilton County is classified as a lean Republican county. Hamilton County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952. The county has a population of approximately 376,192.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+13.0
2020→2024 SwingR+3.4%
Voting StreakR since 1952
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population376,192
Median Age
39.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
37.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$76,183(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
68.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
8.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
17.6%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.9%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
63.9%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
4.6%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
39.7%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
8.3%(Above Average)
Black Protestant
5.5%(Major Center)
Catholic
3.1%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.7%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
14.9%Above Average(1.7x)
Irish
11.2%(1.2x)
German
10.7%
American Heritage
7.3%(1.4x)
Mexican
3.2%
Italian
2.7%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.1%
18-29
8.4%
30-44
21.2%
45-64
30.9%
65+
18.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
13.3%(1.4x US)
Retail Trade
10.4%
Professional & Technical
10.4%(0.9x US)
Educational Services
9.0%
Construction
6.8%
Healthcare & Social Services
4.7%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202442.7%(74,437)55.7%(97,195)R+13.0R+3.4
202044.1%(75,522)53.8%(92,108)R+9.7D+6.8
201638.8%(55,316)55.3%(78,733)R+16.4R+1.6
201241.5%(58,836)56.4%(79,933)R+14.9R+3.1
200843.5%(64,246)55.4%(81,702)R+11.8D+3.7
200441.9%(57,302)57.4%(78,547)R+15.5R+3.1
200043.0%(51,708)55.3%(66,605)R+12.4R+5.9
199643.3%(48,008)49.8%(55,205)R+6.5R+0.7
199240.6%(46,770)46.5%(53,476)R+5.8D+18.9
198837.4%(40,990)62.1%(68,111)R+24.7D+0.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Hamilton County, TN18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202441.7%(72,115)56.3%(97,475)R+14.6R+0.2
202041.8%(70,608)56.3%(95,105)R+14.5R+13.0
201848.7%(65,119)50.2%(67,152)R+1.5D+31.1
201431.9%(25,373)64.5%(51,347)R+32.6D+3.7
201230.2%(41,570)66.5%(91,497)R+36.3R+5.5
200833.6%(47,754)64.3%(91,563)R+30.8R+23.9
200646.0%(49,904)53.0%(57,411)R+6.9D+15.5
200238.2%(33,433)60.6%(53,070)R+22.4D+13.2
200031.2%(36,733)66.8%(78,652)R+35.6R+0.8
199631.9%(34,321)66.7%(71,756)R+34.8D+21.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201843.3%(57,794)55.8%(74,437)R+12.5D+34.3
201424.4%(19,462)71.3%(56,750)R+46.8R+14.0
201032.8%(28,556)65.6%(57,090)R+32.8R+74.6
200670.3%(75,261)28.5%(30,482)D+41.8D+47.8
200246.3%(40,864)52.3%(46,109)R+5.9D+43.6
199824.4%(14,301)73.9%(43,309)R+49.5R+29.2
199439.1%(34,534)59.3%(52,452)R+20.3R+40.0
199058.2%(30,056)38.5%(19,874)D+19.7D+28.8
198645.4%(34,765)54.6%(41,737)R+9.1D+18.3
198236.3%(26,943)63.7%(47,310)R+27.4R+9.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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