Hamilton County, Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 3.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 68.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 8.0% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 17.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 39.7% | 67.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.3% | 14.0% |
| Black Protestant | 5.5% | 9.4% |
| Catholic | 3.1% | 5.3% |
| Other | 2.3% | 3.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.2% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Non-religious | 40.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+13.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+9.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+16.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+14.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+11.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+15.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+12.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+6.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+5.8 |
Hamilton, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 376,192. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+13.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42.7% | 55.7% | R+13.1 | R+3.4 |
| 2020 | 44.1% | 53.8% | R+9.7 | D+6.8 |
| 2016 | 38.8% | 55.3% | R+16.4 | R+1.6 |
| 2012 | 41.5% | 56.4% | R+14.9 | R+3.1 |
| 2008 | 43.4% | 55.2% | R+11.8 | D+3.7 |
| 2004 | 41.8% | 57.4% | R+15.5 | R+3.1 |
| 2000 | 43.0% | 55.3% | R+12.4 | R+5.9 |
| 1996 | 43.3% | 49.8% | R+6.5 | R+0.7 |
| 1992 | 40.6% | 46.5% | R+5.8 | D+18.9 |
| 1988 | 37.4% | 62.1% | R+24.7 | D+0.5 |
| 1984 | 37.1% | 62.4% | R+25.2 | R+9.9 |
| 1980 | 41.1% | 56.4% | R+15.3 | R+12.6 |
| 1976 | 48.0% | 50.8% | R+2.8 | D+42.9 |
| 1972 | 24.9% | 70.6% | R+45.7 | R+38.8 |
| 1968 | 27.6% | 34.5% | R+6.9 | R+4.8 |
| 1964 | 48.9% | 51.1% | R+2.1 | D+10.8 |
| 1960 | 42.8% | 55.7% | R+12.9 | R+3.5 |
| 1956 | 43.6% | 53.1% | R+9.5 | D+1.4 |
| 1952 | 44.3% | 55.1% | R+10.9 | R+32.5 |
| 1948 | 56.2% | 34.6% | D+21.6 | — |
What defines Hamilton?
Hamilton is a solidly Republican urban geography that has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952. It shifted 3.4pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. Its 376K residents are highly educated (37% hold a bachelor's degree).
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Has flipped parties 6 times since 1868