Carter County, TN

TN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+63.2
2024 Margin
R+1.8%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1892
Voting Streak
57K
Population

Carter County, TN (Tennessee) voted R+63.2 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 20,167 votes (81.15%) to 4,454 (17.92%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Carter County is classified as a deep Republican county. Carter County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1892. The county has a population of approximately 56,712.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+63.2
2020→2024 SwingR+1.8%
Voting StreakR since 1892
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population56,712
Median Age
45.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
20.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$50,135(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.5%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.3%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
75.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
17.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
1.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
40.8%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
2.7%
LDS/Mormon
0.9%
Black Protestant
0.8%
Catholic
0.6%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
25.4%Major Concentration(4.7x)
English
14.8%Above Average(1.7x)
German
10.0%
Irish
8.4%
Scotch-Irish
2.6%Significant Hub(3.3x)
Italian
1.3%

Age Distribution

Median:45.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
17.7%
18-29
7.9%
30-44
17.4%
45-64
34.3%
65+
22.8%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
13.2%(1.3x US)
Retail Trade
12.8%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
9.0%
Professional & Technical
8.6%(0.7x US)
Construction
7.5%(1.1x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.6%(1.2x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202417.9%(4,454)81.2%(20,167)R+63.2R+1.8
202018.5%(4,529)80.0%(19,584)R+61.5D+2.3
201616.4%(3,453)80.2%(16,898)R+63.8R+11.8
201223.2%(4,789)75.2%(15,503)R+52.0R+4.8
200825.7%(5,587)72.8%(15,852)R+47.2R+5.1
200428.7%(6,395)70.7%(15,768)R+42.0R+13.8
200035.2%(6,724)63.4%(12,111)R+28.2R+4.6
199634.0%(6,218)57.6%(10,540)R+23.6R+1.7
199233.9%(6,502)55.8%(10,712)R+21.9D+22.2
198827.6%(4,634)71.7%(12,036)R+44.1D+3.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Carter County, TN18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202416.9%(4,081)81.3%(19,687)R+64.4R+2.2
202017.8%(4,127)80.0%(18,593)R+62.3R+12.0
201824.3%(4,547)74.6%(13,946)R+50.3D+4.8
201419.1%(2,053)74.1%(7,983)R+55.0D+7.6
201216.5%(3,107)79.2%(14,874)R+62.6D+0.1
200817.0%(3,448)79.7%(16,148)R+62.7R+33.0
200634.3%(5,664)64.0%(10,577)R+29.7D+10.1
200228.9%(4,542)68.7%(10,798)R+39.8D+12.3
200022.9%(4,115)75.0%(13,497)R+52.1R+1.9
199624.4%(3,889)74.5%(11,900)R+50.2D+29.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
201818.9%(3,525)80.2%(14,922)R+61.2D+2.3
201414.2%(1,530)77.7%(8,376)R+63.5R+8.0
201021.4%(3,001)77.0%(10,783)R+55.6R+71.1
200656.6%(9,211)41.1%(6,686)D+15.5D+39.3
200237.1%(5,877)60.9%(9,656)R+23.8D+33.3
199820.0%(1,838)77.2%(7,080)R+57.2R+22.4
199431.9%(4,515)66.7%(9,441)R+34.8R+50.9
199056.7%(3,282)40.6%(2,352)D+16.1D+1.3
198657.4%(6,586)42.6%(4,895)D+14.7D+62.4
198226.1%(3,032)73.9%(8,564)R+47.7R+2.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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