Carroll County, Tennessee
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 3.1% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 8.4% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 44.9% | 79.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.4% | 11.4% |
| Black Protestant | 3.8% | 6.8% |
| Other | 0.8% | 1.5% |
| Catholic | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 43.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+61.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+55.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+52.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+34.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+29.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+13.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+7.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.6 |
Carroll, Tennessee is a county that has a population of 28,641. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+61.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.8% | 80.3% | R+61.6 | R+5.7 |
| 2020 | 21.5% | 77.3% | R+55.8 | R+3.5 |
| 2016 | 22.4% | 74.7% | R+52.3 | R+17.7 |
| 2012 | 32.0% | 66.6% | R+34.6 | R+4.7 |
| 2008 | 34.2% | 64.0% | R+29.8 | R+16.8 |
| 2004 | 43.1% | 56.2% | R+13.1 | R+11.0 |
| 2000 | 48.4% | 50.5% | R+2.1 | R+9.3 |
| 1996 | 49.9% | 42.7% | D+7.2 | R+0.5 |
| 1992 | 48.7% | 41.0% | D+7.6 | D+22.7 |
| 1988 | 42.2% | 57.3% | R+15.1 | R+1.5 |
| 1984 | 42.8% | 56.4% | R+13.6 | R+10.0 |
| 1980 | 47.4% | 51.0% | R+3.6 | R+19.6 |
| 1976 | 57.4% | 41.5% | D+15.9 | D+57.8 |
| 1972 | 27.4% | 69.3% | R+41.9 | R+21.5 |
| 1968 | 21.5% | 41.8% | R+20.3 | R+24.4 |
| 1964 | 52.1% | 47.9% | D+4.1 | D+24.6 |
| 1960 | 38.9% | 59.4% | R+20.4 | R+7.2 |
| 1956 | 42.6% | 55.8% | R+13.2 | D+0.4 |
| 1952 | 42.9% | 56.5% | R+13.6 | R+16.3 |
| 1948 | 45.7% | 42.9% | D+2.7 | — |
What defines Carroll?
Carroll has been trending Republican — 27pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 61.6% margin
- Shifted 27.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Carroll sits inside these higher-level geographies.