Warren County, PA

PA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+39.1
2024 Margin
D+0.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
38K
Population

Warren County, PA (Pennsylvania) voted R+39.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 14,345 votes (68.99%) to 6,212 (29.88%) for Harris.

This represents a D+0.5% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. Warren County is classified as a deep Republican county. Warren County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The county has a population of approximately 37,920.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+39.1
2020→2024 SwingD+0.5%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population37,920
Median Age
47.1(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
19.9%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$60,480(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
94.9%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
1.3%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
79.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
10.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
11.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.6%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
16.4%(Unique Concentration)
Evangelical
10.9%(Below Average)
Catholic
8.1%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
22.7%Above Average(1.8x)
Irish
13.4%(1.4x)
English
13.3%(1.5x)
Italian
7.6%(1.6x)
American Heritage
6.8%(1.3x)
Polish
3.8%(1.5x)
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:47.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.6%
18-29
6.6%
30-44
16.0%
45-64
33.0%
65+
24.8%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingMajor Specialization
22.8%(2.3x US)
Retail Trade
11.0%
Educational Services
6.0%(0.7x US)
Professional & Technical
5.0%(0.4x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.8%
Construction
4.3%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202429.9%(6,212)69.0%(14,345)R+39.1D+0.5
202029.4%(6,066)68.9%(14,237)R+39.6R+0.2
201627.6%(5,145)67.1%(12,477)R+39.4R+22.0
201240.4%(6,995)57.9%(10,010)R+17.4R+11.2
200846.1%(8,537)52.3%(9,685)R+6.2D+9.1
200441.7%(8,044)57.1%(10,999)R+15.3R+5.3
200042.9%(7,537)52.9%(9,290)R+10.0R+11.4
199642.7%(7,291)41.3%(7,056)D+1.4R+0.7
199237.8%(6,972)35.7%(6,585)D+2.1D+15.9
198842.5%(6,790)56.2%(8,991)R+13.8D+12.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Warren County, PA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202431.0%(6,415)66.1%(13,655)R+35.0R+5.5
202233.7%(5,420)63.2%(10,175)R+29.5R+6.3
201837.5%(5,390)60.8%(8,734)R+23.3D+15.2
201628.1%(5,124)66.6%(12,130)R+38.5R+16.7
201237.7%(6,432)59.4%(10,136)R+21.7D+4.1
201037.1%(4,493)62.9%(7,615)R+25.8R+28.5
200651.2%(6,677)48.5%(6,325)D+2.7D+36.6
200429.1%(5,280)63.0%(11,432)R+33.9R+6.3
200034.8%(5,565)62.4%(9,973)R+27.6D+9.6
199828.4%(2,935)65.6%(6,784)R+37.2R+17.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202237.5%(6,032)60.4%(9,704)R+22.9D+0.1
201837.6%(5,447)60.5%(8,766)R+22.9R+11.9
201444.5%(4,965)55.5%(6,194)R+11.0D+23.4
201032.8%(3,996)67.2%(8,194)R+34.4R+45.3
200655.4%(7,278)44.5%(5,846)D+10.9D+27.7
200240.4%(4,823)57.2%(6,823)R+16.8D+23.3
199820.7%(2,301)60.7%(6,760)R+40.0R+2.3
199424.7%(3,643)62.5%(9,194)R+37.7R+75.8
199069.0%(9,260)31.0%(4,153)D+38.1D+54.0
198641.5%(5,527)57.4%(7,641)R+15.9D+3.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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