Lawrence County, PA

PA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+33.7
2024 Margin
R+4.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2004
Voting Streak
85K
Population

Lawrence County, PA (Pennsylvania) voted R+33.7 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 31,347 votes (66.34%) to 15,440 (32.67%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Lawrence County is classified as a deep Republican county. Lawrence County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2004. The county has a population of approximately 85,024.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+33.7
2020→2024 SwingR+4.1%
Voting StreakR since 2004
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population85,024
Median Age
44.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
23.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$61,931(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
89.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.2%(US: 19.1%)
Black
4.3%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
75.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
11.9%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
34.3%(Above Average)
Evangelical
11.9%
Mainline Protestant
8.0%(Above Average)
Black Protestant
1.7%
LDS/Mormon
0.6%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
25.4%Above Average(2.1x)
Italian
23.5%Major Concentration(4.9x)
Irish
17.8%Above Average(1.9x)
English
9.2%
Polish
6.6%Significant Hub(2.7x)
American Heritage
3.8%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:44.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
20.0%
18-29
7.9%
30-44
16.5%
45-64
32.2%
65+
23.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
14.0%(1.4x US)
Retail Trade
12.9%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
8.3%(0.7x US)
Construction
6.9%
Educational Services
6.9%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.4%(1.2x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202432.7%(15,440)66.3%(31,347)R+33.7R+4.1
202034.7%(15,978)64.2%(29,597)R+29.6R+1.8
201634.1%(14,009)61.9%(25,428)R+27.8R+18.8
201244.7%(17,513)53.7%(21,047)R+9.0R+3.9
200846.8%(19,711)51.9%(21,851)R+5.1R+3.8
200449.2%(21,387)50.5%(21,938)R+1.3R+7.7
200052.0%(20,593)45.6%(18,060)D+6.4R+9.9
199652.4%(18,993)36.1%(13,088)D+16.3R+4.3
199250.5%(20,830)30.0%(12,359)D+20.6D+4.6
198857.7%(21,884)41.8%(15,829)D+16.0D+5.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Lawrence County, PA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202434.6%(16,176)62.8%(29,405)R+28.3R+6.8
202238.0%(13,758)59.5%(21,531)R+21.5R+12.0
201844.6%(14,324)54.0%(17,375)R+9.5D+8.8
201638.0%(15,289)56.3%(22,674)R+18.3R+16.4
201248.1%(18,603)50.1%(19,353)R+1.9D+9.5
201044.3%(12,317)55.7%(15,493)R+11.4R+27.4
200658.0%(18,436)42.0%(13,368)D+15.9D+22.9
200443.2%(18,116)50.1%(21,021)R+6.9R+15.5
200053.5%(21,026)45.0%(17,672)D+8.5D+19.4
199843.0%(11,167)53.9%(14,000)R+10.9R+14.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202244.2%(15,918)54.0%(19,471)R+9.9R+4.6
201846.6%(15,035)51.8%(16,714)R+5.2R+8.8
201451.8%(11,996)48.2%(11,166)D+3.6D+21.4
201041.1%(11,499)58.9%(16,489)R+17.8R+28.0
200655.1%(17,557)44.9%(14,329)D+10.1D+4.4
200252.0%(14,628)46.3%(13,010)D+5.8D+20.9
199836.3%(9,259)51.5%(13,115)R+15.1R+16.0
199443.7%(13,355)42.8%(13,102)D+0.8R+44.9
199072.9%(19,563)27.1%(7,282)D+45.7D+23.5
198660.6%(19,235)38.4%(12,189)D+22.2D+6.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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