Erie County, PA

PA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+1.0
2024 Margin
R+2.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2024
Voting Streak
269K
Population

Erie County, PA (Pennsylvania) voted R+1.0 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 68,866 votes (49.91%) to 67,456 (48.89%) for Harris.

This represents a R+2.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Erie County is classified as a competitive Republican county. Erie County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2024. The county has a population of approximately 269,052.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+1.0
2020→2024 SwingR+2.1%
Voting StreakR since 2024
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population269,052
Median Age
40.2(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
30.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$63,354(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
82.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
4.8%(US: 19.1%)
Black
7.6%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.9%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
68.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
15.0%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.1%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
18.5%
Mainline Protestant
9.0%(Above Average)
Evangelical
8.0%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.0%
LDS/Mormon
0.4%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
22.4%Above Average(1.8x)
Irish
13.2%(1.4x)
Italian
10.6%Above Average(2.2x)
Polish
10.1%Major Concentration(4.1x)
English
8.5%
American Heritage
3.9%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:40.2 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
20.7%
18-29
10.0%
30-44
19.0%
45-64
30.5%
65+
19.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
15.6%(1.6x US)
Retail Trade
10.5%
Educational Services
8.8%
Professional & Technical
7.5%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.0%
Construction
4.8%(0.7x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202448.9%(67,456)49.9%(68,866)R+1.0R+2.1
202049.8%(68,286)48.8%(66,869)D+1.0D+2.6
201646.4%(58,112)48.0%(60,069)R+1.6R+17.5
201257.1%(68,036)41.2%(49,025)D+16.0R+4.0
200859.3%(75,775)39.4%(50,351)D+19.9D+11.5
200454.0%(67,921)45.6%(57,372)D+8.4R+0.9
200052.9%(59,399)43.6%(49,027)D+9.2R+7.0
199652.9%(57,508)36.7%(39,884)D+16.2D+1.7
199247.9%(56,381)33.4%(39,283)D+14.5D+9.1
198852.2%(53,913)46.8%(48,306)D+5.4D+8.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Erie County, PA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202449.6%(67,868)47.9%(65,603)D+1.7R+7.7
202253.3%(56,404)44.0%(46,507)D+9.4R+9.0
201858.4%(58,906)40.0%(40,348)D+18.4D+21.7
201646.3%(56,846)49.7%(60,948)R+3.3R+17.6
201255.9%(65,406)41.6%(48,708)D+14.3D+4.0
201055.1%(46,851)44.9%(38,146)D+10.2R+8.5
200659.3%(50,857)40.5%(34,757)D+18.8D+42.2
200436.5%(42,627)59.9%(69,937)R+23.4R+12.6
200043.7%(46,726)54.5%(58,302)R+10.8D+13.5
199835.5%(25,616)59.8%(43,175)R+24.3R+19.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202259.7%(63,081)38.3%(40,433)D+21.4D+0.4
201859.8%(60,790)38.7%(39,387)D+21.0D+4.9
201458.1%(42,115)41.9%(30,389)D+16.2D+16.4
201049.9%(42,581)50.1%(42,752)R+0.2R+16.4
200658.1%(50,042)41.8%(36,059)D+16.2D+29.4
200241.7%(32,774)54.9%(43,095)R+13.1D+28.7
199821.8%(16,783)63.7%(49,027)R+41.9D+3.3
199422.1%(21,422)67.3%(65,181)R+45.2R+89.0
199071.9%(52,265)28.1%(20,424)D+43.8D+46.3
198647.8%(35,727)50.3%(37,583)R+2.5D+2.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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