Dauphin County, PA

PA · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

D+5.9
2024 Margin
R+2.6%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
290K
Population

Dauphin County, PA (Pennsylvania) voted D+5.9 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 78,327 votes (52.19%) to 69,474 (46.29%) for Trump.

This represents a R+2.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Dauphin County is classified as a lean Democratic county. Dauphin County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The county has a population of approximately 289,593.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+5.9
2020→2024 SwingR+2.6%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population289,593
Median Age
39.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
34.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$76,242(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
61.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
11.8%(US: 19.1%)
Black
17.8%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
5.7%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
63.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
12.9%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.6%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
9.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
14.6%
Mainline Protestant
11.3%(Major Center)
Evangelical
10.4%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
3.2%
Jewish
0.7%(Above Average)
+ 1 more traditions

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
21.8%Above Average(1.8x)
Irish
10.7%
English
6.6%
Italian
6.5%(1.3x)
Puerto Rican
5.8%Significant Hub(3.5x)
American Heritage
5.6%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.4%
18-29
8.2%↓
30-44
20.3%
45-64
31.2%↑
65+
18.0%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
11.1%
Professional & Technical
10.2%(0.9x US)
Educational Services
8.0%
Manufacturing
7.9%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.5%
Construction
4.1%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202452.2%(78,327)46.3%(69,474)D+5.9R+2.6
202053.6%(78,983)45.1%(66,408)D+8.5D+5.6
201649.1%(64,706)46.2%(60,863)D+2.9R+3.1
201252.3%(64,965)46.2%(57,450)D+6.0R+3.0
200854.0%(69,975)45.0%(58,238)D+9.1D+17.3
200445.6%(55,299)53.9%(65,296)R+8.2D+0.9
200044.1%(44,390)53.3%(53,631)R+9.2R+5.4
199644.0%(40,936)47.8%(44,417)R+3.7D+4.8
199237.4%(36,990)46.0%(45,479)R+8.6D+7.8
198841.4%(35,079)57.8%(48,917)R+16.3D+7.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Dauphin County, PA • 1892–2024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202451.7%(77,022)44.9%(66,949)D+6.8R+3.3
202253.8%(61,599)43.8%(50,141)D+10.0R+1.4
201854.8%(59,533)43.4%(47,152)D+11.4D+12.3
201648.6%(62,551)49.5%(63,740)R+0.9R+10.5
201254.1%(65,235)44.5%(53,649)D+9.6D+21.1
201044.3%(38,913)55.7%(49,021)R+11.5R+18.1
200653.3%(46,622)46.7%(40,832)D+6.6D+30.5
200434.5%(40,562)58.4%(68,693)R+23.9R+8.7
200040.9%(40,047)56.1%(54,986)R+15.2D+24.5
199828.3%(17,209)68.0%(41,397)R+39.7R+25.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202260.0%(68,585)38.1%(43,580)D+21.9D+2.0
201859.0%(64,045)39.1%(42,436)D+19.9D+18.3
201450.8%(40,376)49.2%(39,111)D+1.6D+22.5
201039.5%(34,813)60.5%(53,261)R+20.9R+12.2
200645.6%(39,711)54.4%(47,294)R+8.7D+4.7
200242.0%(33,537)55.5%(44,231)R+13.4D+30.0
199821.4%(13,203)64.8%(39,914)R+43.4R+34.6
199435.8%(27,844)44.6%(34,689)R+8.8R+52.6
199071.9%(43,063)28.1%(16,833)D+43.8D+56.5
198643.3%(29,116)56.0%(37,641)R+12.7R+19.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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