Cumberland County, PA

PA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+9.4
2024 Margin
D+1.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
268K
Population

Cumberland County, PA (Pennsylvania) voted R+9.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 80,267 votes (53.85%) to 66,255 (44.45%) for Harris.

This represents a D+1.2% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. Cumberland County is classified as a lean Republican county. Cumberland County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 268,323.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+9.4
2020→2024 SwingD+1.2%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population268,323
Median Age
40.2(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
40.0%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$87,494(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
81.9%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.2%(US: 19.1%)
Black
4.3%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
5.0%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
71.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
7.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
6.9%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
13.1%(Major Center)
Catholic
13.1%(Below Average)
Evangelical
12.2%
LDS/Mormon
0.4%
Black Protestant
0.2%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
28.3%Above Average(2.3x)
Irish
13.0%(1.4x)
English
10.0%
Italian
6.7%(1.4x)
American Heritage
4.6%
Polish
3.1%(1.2x)
+ 5 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:40.2 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
20.5%
18-29
9.9%
30-44
19.3%
45-64
31.3%
65+
19.0%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
12.6%
Retail Trade
11.7%
Educational Services
8.1%
Manufacturing
7.7%(0.8x US)
Construction
4.8%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.2%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202444.5%(66,255)53.9%(80,267)R+9.4D+1.2
202044.0%(62,245)54.5%(77,212)R+10.6D+7.2
201638.1%(47,085)55.9%(69,076)R+17.8D+0.6
201239.9%(44,367)58.3%(64,809)R+18.4R+4.8
200842.6%(48,306)56.3%(63,739)R+13.6D+14.4
200435.8%(37,928)63.8%(67,648)R+28.0R+1.1
200035.2%(31,053)62.2%(54,802)R+26.9R+7.7
199636.4%(28,749)55.6%(43,943)R+19.2D+0.6
199231.5%(26,635)51.4%(43,447)R+19.9D+11.4
198834.0%(24,613)65.3%(47,292)R+31.3D+7.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Cumberland County, PA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202443.9%(64,713)53.0%(78,178)R+9.1R+3.6
202246.0%(53,278)51.5%(59,663)R+5.5D+1.0
201845.7%(47,738)52.2%(54,525)R+6.5D+15.5
201636.7%(44,796)58.7%(71,638)R+22.0R+8.4
201242.1%(46,294)55.7%(61,296)R+13.6D+17.4
201034.5%(27,829)65.5%(52,890)R+31.0R+23.8
200646.2%(36,638)53.5%(42,410)R+7.3D+31.8
200426.2%(27,268)65.3%(67,880)R+39.1R+7.0
200032.5%(28,080)64.6%(55,799)R+32.1D+14.1
199825.2%(13,276)71.3%(37,643)R+46.2R+18.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202252.9%(61,319)45.1%(52,280)D+7.8D+4.6
201850.5%(52,807)47.4%(49,496)D+3.2D+19.6
201441.8%(31,311)58.2%(43,625)R+16.4D+22.9
201030.4%(24,531)69.6%(56,284)R+39.3R+22.3
200641.3%(32,737)58.3%(46,189)R+17.0D+8.1
200236.3%(24,237)61.4%(40,966)R+25.1D+29.7
199816.2%(8,610)70.9%(37,801)R+54.8R+33.5
199429.1%(19,003)50.4%(32,903)R+21.3R+53.4
199066.1%(32,487)33.9%(16,692)D+32.1D+57.8
198636.8%(19,591)62.5%(33,285)R+25.7R+6.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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