Butler County, PA

PA · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+32.1
2024 Margin
D+0.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
197K
Population

Butler County, PA (Pennsylvania) voted R+32.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 79,773 votes (65.45%) to 40,661 (33.36%) for Harris.

This represents a D+0.4% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. Butler County is classified as a deep Republican county. Butler County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 197,254.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+32.1
2020→2024 SwingD+0.4%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population197,254
Median Age
43.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
39.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$89,843(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.0%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.2%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
76.9%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
8.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
30.3%(Above Average)
Evangelical
11.6%
Mainline Protestant
10.7%(Major Center)
LDS/Mormon
0.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
33.1%Significant Hub(2.7x)
Irish
19.1%Above Average(2.1x)
Italian
12.2%Significant Hub(2.5x)
English
10.8%(1.2x)
Polish
7.8%Significant Hub(3.1x)
American Heritage
3.9%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:43.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.3%
18-29
8.8%
30-44
17.6%
45-64
33.8%
65+
20.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
13.1%(1.3x US)
Retail Trade
12.4%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
11.6%
Educational Services
7.0%(0.8x US)
Construction
6.7%
Healthcare & Social Services
4.1%(0.9x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.4%(40,661)65.5%(79,773)R+32.1D+0.4
202033.1%(37,508)65.6%(74,359)R+32.5D+4.0
201629.1%(28,586)65.7%(64,431)R+36.6R+1.8
201231.8%(28,550)66.6%(59,761)R+34.8R+7.4
200835.7%(32,260)63.1%(57,074)R+27.4D+1.7
200435.2%(30,090)64.3%(54,959)R+29.1R+2.3
200035.3%(25,037)62.1%(44,009)R+26.8R+10.2
199636.3%(21,990)52.9%(32,038)R+16.6R+14.4
199236.5%(22,303)38.7%(23,656)R+2.2D+8.5
198844.1%(22,341)54.8%(27,777)R+10.7D+1.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Butler County, PA18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.9%(40,973)63.9%(77,328)R+30.1R+5.1
202236.3%(33,921)61.3%(57,168)R+24.9R+4.9
201839.0%(31,010)59.0%(46,875)R+20.0D+14.9
201629.7%(28,715)64.6%(62,425)R+34.9R+5.9
201234.5%(30,620)63.5%(56,320)R+29.0D+7.9
201031.5%(20,471)68.5%(44,429)R+36.9R+26.6
200644.7%(27,818)55.1%(34,253)R+10.4D+17.0
200430.4%(25,507)57.7%(48,413)R+27.3D+0.6
200035.0%(24,816)62.9%(44,568)R+27.9D+11.0
199828.1%(12,504)67.0%(29,798)R+38.9R+11.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202242.9%(40,065)55.2%(51,546)R+12.3D+3.2
201841.3%(32,891)56.8%(45,242)R+15.5D+12.5
201436.0%(20,171)64.0%(35,818)R+27.9D+15.9
201028.1%(18,404)71.9%(47,151)R+43.9R+22.4
200639.2%(24,936)60.7%(38,613)R+21.5D+5.9
200234.9%(18,145)62.3%(32,400)R+27.4D+0.0
199823.8%(10,593)51.2%(22,839)R+27.5R+10.6
199427.8%(13,514)44.7%(21,746)R+16.9R+50.1
199066.6%(25,329)33.4%(12,715)D+33.2D+38.6
198646.7%(17,697)52.1%(19,750)R+5.4D+2.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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