Question 1

How did Bucks, Pennsylvania vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Bucks, Pennsylvania voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+0.1. Kamala D Harris received 198,431 votes and Donald Trump received 198,722 out of 401,028 total votes cast, a 4.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Bucks, Pennsylvania's political history?

Accepted Answer

Bucks, Pennsylvania has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 17 and Republicans 23 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 32.1 points in 1932.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Bucks, Pennsylvania?

Accepted Answer

Bucks, Pennsylvania has a population of 647,461 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 79.9% non-Hispanic white, 6.6% Hispanic, 3.8% Black. About 45% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $114,764.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Bucks, Pennsylvania?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Bucks, Pennsylvania are Rockingham, Clackamas, Gloucester. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	79.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	6.6%
▶Black / African American(14)	3.8%
▶Asian(6)	5.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)	1.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.2%
Multiracial / Other	4.5%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	34.5%	67.8%
Mainline Protestant	6.7%	13.1%
Evangelical Protestant	6.0%	11.8%
Other	3.4%	6.6%
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.4%
LDS (Mormon)	0.1%	0.3%
Black Protestant	0.1%	0.3%
Non-religious	49.1%	—

Year	Result
2024	Trump+0.1
2020	Biden+4.4
2016	Clinton+0.8
2012	Obama+1.2
2008	Obama+8.6
2004	Kerry+2.8
2000	Gore+4.2
1996	Clinton+3.7
1992	Clinton+1.3

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	49.5%	49.6%	R+0.1	R+4.5
2020	51.7%	47.3%	D+4.4	D+3.6
2016	48.4%	47.6%	D+0.8	R+0.4
2012	50.0%	48.7%	D+1.2	R+7.4
2008	53.7%	45.1%	D+8.6	D+5.8
2004	51.1%	48.3%	D+2.8	R+1.4
2000	50.5%	46.3%	D+4.2	D+0.5
1996	45.4%	41.7%	D+3.7	D+2.4
1992	39.4%	38.1%	D+1.3	D+22.6
1988	38.8%	60.0%	R+21.2	D+5.8
1984	36.2%	63.3%	R+27.0	R+4.1
1980	32.6%	55.5%	R+22.9	R+19.4
1976	47.3%	50.7%	R+3.4	D+23.4
1972	35.5%	62.3%	R+26.8	R+18.4
1968	40.2%	48.6%	R+8.4	R+30.1
1964	60.6%	38.9%	D+21.7	D+30.0
1960	45.7%	54.0%	R+8.3	D+13.4
1956	39.1%	60.7%	R+21.6	D+3.6
1952	37.2%	62.4%	R+25.2	D+1.9
1948	35.4%	62.5%	R+27.1	—

Bucks County, Pennsylvania

County in State Context

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