Jefferson County, OR

OR · Presidential Elections 19162024

R+29.9
2024 Margin
R+6.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
25K
Population

Jefferson County, OR (Oregon) voted R+29.9 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 7,454 votes (63.44%) to 3,941 (33.54%) for Harris.

This represents a R+6.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Jefferson County is classified as a solid Republican county. Jefferson County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The county has a population of approximately 25,203.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+29.9
2020→2024 SwingR+6.4%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record28

Demographics

Population25,203
Median Age
41.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
21.2%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$76,260(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
57.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
21.3%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
72.0%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
11.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
14.8%
Catholic
8.1%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
2.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
19.4%Above Average(1.7x)
German
12.3%
English
10.3%
Irish
9.1%
American Heritage
3.5%
Italian
1.4%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:41.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.7%
18-29
7.6%
30-44
18.2%
45-64
31.6%
65+
19.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
12.7%(1.3x US)
Retail Trade
11.4%
Professional & Technical
8.9%(0.7x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
7.9%(4.7x US)
Educational Services
7.0%(0.8x US)
Construction
6.4%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.5%(3,941)63.4%(7,454)R+29.9R+6.4
202036.9%(4,393)60.4%(7,189)R+23.5D+3.0
201631.5%(2,980)58.0%(5,483)R+26.5R+10.1
201240.4%(3,301)56.8%(4,642)R+16.4R+7.7
200844.3%(3,682)52.9%(4,402)R+8.7D+10.1
200440.0%(3,243)58.7%(4,762)R+18.7R+1.9
200038.9%(2,681)55.6%(3,838)R+16.8R+15.5
199641.2%(2,555)42.5%(2,634)R+1.3R+4.6
199236.6%(2,161)33.2%(1,962)D+3.4D+6.6
198847.0%(2,346)50.2%(2,509)R+3.3D+22.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Jefferson County, OR19162024

D+R++40+200-20-4019161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202236.3%(3,597)61.4%(6,083)R+25.1R+6.2
202039.1%(4,591)57.9%(6,810)R+18.9R+24.8
201648.5%(4,517)42.6%(3,967)D+5.9D+15.2
201441.5%(2,809)50.8%(3,440)R+9.3R+4.2
201046.0%(3,036)51.1%(3,374)R+5.1D+20.7
200833.5%(2,705)59.3%(4,788)R+25.8R+58.1
200464.3%(5,118)32.0%(2,548)D+32.3D+70.5
200228.8%(1,716)67.1%(3,993)R+38.3R+62.9
199860.1%(3,069)35.5%(1,809)D+24.7D+16.9
199679.2%(4,078)71.4%(3,675)D+7.8D+31.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202223.6%(2,376)62.0%(6,251)R+38.4R+5.9
201829.8%(2,635)62.3%(5,518)R+32.6R+7.7
201634.1%(3,169)59.0%(5,484)R+24.9D+0.3
201434.2%(2,333)59.4%(4,048)R+25.2D+6.8
201032.3%(2,132)64.2%(4,240)R+31.9R+21.0
200641.4%(2,776)52.3%(3,511)R+11.0R+0.2
200241.7%(2,460)52.4%(3,096)R+10.8R+36.4
199860.3%(3,080)34.7%(1,771)D+25.6D+35.2
199441.6%(2,146)51.2%(2,639)R+9.6D+2.4
199039.2%(1,716)51.2%(2,238)R+11.9R+1.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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