Warren County, OH

OH · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+31.3
2024 Margin
R+0.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
250K
Population

Warren County, OH (Ohio) voted R+31.3 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 91,132 votes (64.74%) to 47,128 (33.48%) for Harris.

This represents a R+0.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Warren County is classified as a deep Republican county. Warren County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 250,008.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+31.3
2020→2024 SwingR+0.5%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population250,008
Median Age
40.1(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
45.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$110,132(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
82.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.5%(US: 19.1%)
Black
3.4%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
6.6%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
79.4%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
6.0%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
29.3%(Above Average)
Catholic
19.5%
Mainline Protestant
2.5%
LDS/Mormon
0.6%
Black Protestant
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
22.3%Above Average(1.8x)
English
14.6%Above Average(1.7x)
Irish
12.3%(1.3x)
American Heritage
5.9%
Italian
4.1%
Polish
2.6%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:40.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.8%
18-29
7.9%
30-44
18.1%
45-64
34.4%
65+
15.8%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
16.6%(1.7x US)
Professional & Technical
14.0%(1.2x US)
Retail Trade
10.7%
Educational Services
8.2%
Construction
4.7%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
3.8%(0.8x US)
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.5%(47,128)64.7%(91,132)R+31.3R+0.5
202033.9%(46,069)64.7%(87,988)R+30.8D+6.0
201628.2%(33,730)65.0%(77,643)R+36.8D+2.3
201229.4%(32,909)68.5%(76,564)R+39.1R+3.1
200831.4%(33,398)67.4%(71,691)R+36.0D+8.5
200427.6%(26,044)72.1%(68,037)R+44.5R+2.2
200027.7%(19,142)70.0%(48,318)R+42.2R+13.1
199630.8%(17,089)59.9%(33,210)R+29.1R+1.7
199225.6%(13,542)53.0%(27,998)R+27.4D+20.0
198826.0%(11,145)73.4%(31,419)R+47.3D+5.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Warren County, OH18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202435.5%(49,350)61.1%(84,796)R+25.5D+3.5
202235.5%(35,970)64.5%(65,370)R+29.0R+0.9
201836.0%(35,815)64.0%(63,757)R+28.1D+26.0
201620.8%(23,827)74.9%(85,848)R+54.1R+20.2
201231.0%(33,787)64.9%(70,755)R+33.9D+22.2
201020.6%(16,355)76.7%(60,795)R+56.1R+29.2
200636.5%(25,102)63.4%(43,588)R+26.9D+30.9
200421.1%(19,251)78.9%(72,083)R+57.8R+2.0
200020.1%(13,546)76.0%(51,135)R+55.9R+12.8
199828.5%(12,871)71.5%(32,323)R+43.0D+0.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202226.6%(27,070)73.2%(74,345)R+46.5R+10.9
201830.9%(30,720)66.5%(66,190)R+35.6D+23.4
201419.4%(11,427)78.4%(46,167)R+59.0R+18.6
201027.9%(22,271)68.4%(54,536)R+40.5R+23.3
200640.3%(27,434)57.4%(39,094)R+17.1D+38.9
200220.0%(9,833)76.0%(37,388)R+56.0R+17.0
199828.3%(12,562)67.3%(29,897)R+39.0D+27.6
199415.3%(5,903)81.9%(31,635)R+66.6R+29.9
199031.6%(9,861)68.4%(21,299)R+36.7R+27.0
198645.1%(11,477)54.8%(13,939)R+9.7R+6.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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